Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, March 29, 2009
Forecasting Economic Armageddon / Economics / Financial Crash
By: Lorimer_Wilson
Is what we are experiencing with the economy the beginning of the ‘Economic Armageddon' that Stephen Roach forecast for the U.S. in November 2004? This is what he said (and I paraphrase):
America's record trade deficit means the dollar will keep falling, interest rates will rise further and U.S. consumers, in debt up to their eyeballs, will get pounded with no better than a 10% chance of avoiding economic Armageddon .
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Saturday, March 28, 2009
George Soros Forecasts Housing Crash and Price Inflation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: George Soros recently made two predictions. First, commercial real estate will decline by 30% in the United States. "It is inevitable, it is written, everybody knows it, there are already some transactions which reflect and anticipate it, so we know, they will drop at least 30 percent." Second, when banks finally begin to lend, the swollen monetary base will lead to serious price inflation. He called this "an explosion of inflation." Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 27, 2009
U.S. Depression Level Unemployment Rates / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
A total of seven states have passed the 10% unemployment rate as the Jobless Slump Spreads . The number of U.S. states with a jobless rate exceeding 10 percent almost doubled in February as the worst employment slump in the postwar era spread.
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Friday, March 27, 2009
Global Economic Crisis Emerging Fault Lines / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Peter_Schiff
For a few fleeting, horrifying moments this past week the fault lines that underlie the global economic crisis erupted into plain view. With deft and quick effort leaders in Washington, Europe and Asia papered over the fissures and fears largely subsided. But the shock of plain truths which resulted in violent currency movements are the latest reminder that the 21st century economic order will bear little resemblance to the world we now know.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 27, 2009
The Inescapable Inflationary Realities of Quantitative Easing and Economic Stimulus / Economics / Inflation
By: Ty_Andros
$14 million, million, or stated another way $14 trillion. The annual GDP of the US is approximately $14 trillion or $46,666 for every man, woman and child in the US - either way you view it, this is the INCONCEIVABLE amount that has been spent, printed or guaranteed since January 2007 in the US; it does not include the government machinations in other G7 countries. And what have you and your family received from that $46,666 per person? MOSTLY nothing and you will get mostly nothing from the next $46,000 and the next $46,000; ut you will get one thing from it: the bill.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 26, 2009
United States Economy, U.S. Dollar and the China Factor / Economics / US Economy
By: Jim_Willie_CB
A crisis of global confidence in the US Dollar is upon us. Foreigners have begun to lose respect for USGovt approach to problem solving, for US bank administration, and for US Dollar custodial management. Foreigner creditors have suffered deep losses from fraudulent bond export, continue to sit atop mountains of US$-based debt securities, and watch current events in horror. The heap of moldy paper includes both USTreasury Bonds and USAgency Mortgage Bonds. Foreigner creditors see the US Dollar valuation propped up by liquidation forces rather than US Economic strength. Foreigner creditors see the USTBond yields forced down by liquidation forces rather than USGovt debt integrity. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 26, 2009
U.S. Recession, China to the Rescue? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Hans_Wagner
On Friday March 13, 2009, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao urged the U.S. to guarantee its “good credit”, expressing concern about the safety of his country's huge holdings of U.S. government debt. China is the largest holder of U.S. debt. It is estimated that 70 percent of the country's almost $2,000 billion foreign exchange reserves are believed to be in U.S. dollar assets. In addition, Chinese officials believe the country will be able to grow their GDP by eight percent in 2009. Mr. Wen has acknowledged that this may require additional stimulus to bolster the economy. Will China be able to rescue the world's economies and cover the U.S.'s growing deficit? Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Economic Stimulus Packages — The Hidden Threats / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Submissions
Dr. Raju M. Mathew writes: Following the American lead, lunched by President Barrack Obama, almost all governments, including China, India, Kuwait, the UAE and several other countries have either introduced or are on the process of introducing economic or financial stimulus packages to make an early recovery from the global economic crisis, that they prefer to call ‘Recession’. But they are forced to admit that it is more severe than the Great Depression of 1929. Then, of course, it must be the Great Depression II of 2009, lasting several years to recover. A series of global summits to deal with the crisis are under way. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 26, 2009
Dear Chancellor: Inflationary Facts / Economics / Inflation
By: Adrian_Ash
A draft of this week's open letter – from Bank of England governor Mervyn King to UK chancellor Alistair Darling – which BullionVault found blowing down Threadneedle Street early Tuesday...Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Eggertsson Theory, Armstrong, Timing and the Economic Confidence Model / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Mick_Phoenix
Who's that knocking on the door? Who's that ringing the Bell?
It's time for another visit by your friendly Collection Agency to offer timely advice and to remind you of his previous excellent record. You should all know by now that the Collection Agency doesn't pull any punches and has ensured that subscribers have been well ahead of developments in the global macro economy.
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Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Japan's Economy Caught In Deflationary Downward Spiral; Exports Plunge, Prices To Follow / Economics / Japan Economy
By: Mike_Shedlock
Recessions have taken their toll on Asia exporters. Inquiring minds are reading Japan Exports Drop Record 49% as Global Slump Deepens . Japan's exports plunged a record 49.4 percent in February as deepening recessions in the U.S. and Europe sapped demand for the country's cars and electronics.
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Wednesday, March 25, 2009
Save the Big Banks, Trash the U.S. Dollar / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: Timothy Geithner's plan to save the big banks will be a success. This success will come at a cost. The plan will hurt taxpayers, and it will lead to severe price inflation. It will not revive the faltering economy in 2009. It will not restore the housing market. Family wealth will continue to decline. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Roadmap to Inflation And How to Protect Your Investments / Economics / Inflation
By: John_Mauldin
What happens when inflation once again returns. As this week's Outside the Box writer, James Montier, writes, we may want to start thinking now about inflation insurance and he mentions a few ways to do so. But this letter is a must read for his bringing to light a speech by Fed chairman Ben Bernanke in 2000 given to the Japanese, where he suggest inflation targeting: Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
When the United States Ruled the World / Economics / US Economy
By: James_Quinn
I used to rule the world Seas would rise when I gave the word
Now in the morning I sleep alone
Sweep the streets I used to own
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Monday, March 23, 2009
The Great Depression- Then and Now and Mainstream Journalists / Economics / Mainstream Media
By: Gerard_Jackson
The economic crisis and the debate -- what there is of one -- about the alleged anti-recessionary effects of big government spending policies has once again raised the spectre of the Great Depression and once again our commentators get it wrong, particularly journalists, that pesty brood of pseudo intellectuals for whom honest research appears to be an anathema. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 22, 2009
Economic Crisis "The Worst Is Yet To Come!” / Economics / Inflation
By: David_Vaughn
What's happened to gold? Is it still out there? You better believe it is still out there and will continue to be “out there” and for a very long, long, time. What are the banking gurus predicting for gold? Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 22, 2009
Fed Planning Inflationary Dollar Destroying 15-Fold Increase In US Monetary Base / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Eric_deCarbonnel
The fed is planning moves that would more than double its balance-sheet assets by September to $4.5 trillion from $1.9 trillion. Whether expressing approval or concern over the fed's intentions, most commentators fail to understand the real magnitude of the projected expansion of the US monetary base because they don't take into account the amount of dollars circulating abroad. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2009
The Great American Banking Experiment with Fiat Currency / Economics / Fiat Currency
By: Andy_Sutton
One of the most common questions that folks who are becoming newly acquainted with terms like ‘fiat money' and ‘fractional reserve banking' are asking is “How did we get here?” For sure, the recent publicity of 21 st Century Tea Parties along with the occurrence of the worst financial crisis in recorded history has people asking questions. In terms of the American obsession with central banking and fiat currency, 1913 is generally identified as the point where the country went wrong. In truth, however, our obsession with funny money has transcended all; including even, the birth of the nation. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2009
Recession Light at the End of the Tunnel or an Oncoming Freight Train? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
With regard to the economy, we believe there are faint signs of light at the end of the tunnel. Real consumer spending increased by 0.4% in January (and is likely to be revised up) and the decline in February nominal retail sales of 0.1% suggests that the decline in real consumer spending that month will not be severe. For the first quarter as a whole, we now expect a contraction in consumer spending much less severe than last year's fourth-quarter contraction of 4.3%. Although we do not expect to see outright growth in real consumer spending until the fourth quarter of this year, we believe the deepest quarterly contraction is behind us. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2009
Inflation- Central Banks Making Sure It Happens Everywhere / Economics / Inflation
By: Adrian_Ash
"Gold and the Euro just hooked up together again. But for how long depends on central-bank policy..."
SO BEN BERNANKE SAYS the United States has plunged into a deflationary depression.
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