Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, February 28, 2009
World Economy Faces Credit Catastrophe, Eastern Europe in Meltdown / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Mike Larson Writes: Three market developments keeping me up at night - I'm a worrier by nature. I can't help it. My job is to peer around the corner, figure out what's next, and most importantly, discern what can really go WRONG in the economy and the markets.
And right now, I see three troubling developments that are keeping me up at night. These problems aren't front-page news … yet. But they are circling in the background and threatening to explode into the headlines — derailing the market in the process. I suggest you sit up and take notice. I sure am.
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Saturday, February 28, 2009
Electricity: How to Tell When the Recession is Over / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Government economists must be nice folks. They've had to break a lot of bad news to us since this recession started over a year ago. But they're nice. They're breaking it to us as gently as possible.
They ask, “Do you want the bad news first? Or the really bad news?”
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Friday, February 27, 2009
The Great Financial Crisis / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
Interview of John Bellamy Foster - John Bellamy Foster is editor of Monthly Review and professor of sociology at the University of Oregon. He is the coauthor with Fred Magdoff of The Great Financial Crisis: Causes and Consequences, recently published by Monthly Review Press.
MW :Do you think that the American people have been misled into believing that the current financial crisis is the result of subprime loans and toxic assets? Aren't these merely the symptoms of a deeper problem; financialization? Can you explain financialization and how the economy became more and more detached from productive activity and more and more dependent on the accumulation of paper wealth?
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Friday, February 27, 2009
A Crisis of Confidence / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
A scan of the financial and economic landscape of any society during solid, genuinely prosperous times will always reveal a populace brimming with confidence. Confidence in their ability to make a living, confidence in the ability of their leaders, confidence in the workings of their financial markets to whatever extent they exist, and ultimately confidence in the strength of their money. These factors are all interlocking directorates - take any one of them away and you'll witness an economy that is no longer efficient and begins to stumble. Take them all away and you'll witness unbridled economic chaos.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 27, 2009
Old fashioned Leverage as China takes out its Wallet / Economics / China Economy
One of our earliest editorials (in what was then a monthly only publication) was entitled “ China Beckons”. This was after David's first trip to China in 1995, at which time the stirrings of the country's boom economy was evident in major city core areas, but highway travel still often involved a slow progression around ox-cart and foot traffic. During that trip the central government's mining ministries made it plain they were expected to make their own way while government funds were directed elsewhere. A more appropriate title these days would be “China Buys”.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
How Credit Unions Survived the Crash of Casino Capitalism / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
Ralph Nader writes: While the reckless giant banks are shattering like an over-heated glacier day by day, the nation?s credit unions are a relative island of calm largely apart from the vortex of casino capitalism.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
How Business can cope with Contraction during Economic Depression / Economics / Deflation
This article is part of a series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival eBook , part of Prechter's NEW Deflation Survival Guide.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
NO Economic Depression, Time to Jump into Stock Market Investments? / Economics / Investing 2009
Ten Reasons why it won't be a Depression or an "L": So is this the time JUMP IN? - Alarmist stories sell newspapers (and advertising). That's why the Big "D" and the Big "L" words are almost as good for that as pretty girls; (which is the formula the Sun Newspaper uses so well in UK ).Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Japan's Economic Crash as Exports Halve / Economics / Japan Economy
Jason Simpkins writes: Japan's exports were cut nearly in half last month as the global downturn crushed demand for the country's electronics and automobiles, a development that increases the odds that the Japanese yen could be poised for a tumble.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Economic Sickness the Long-term Cure for U.S. Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Everyone has been guilty, at one time or another, of ignoring a cold. Though you knew you were sick, you may have kept working hard, playing hard, and staying out late. Not until you were bed-ridden did you start drinking orange juice and taking your health seriously. The U.S. economy appears to be following a similar trajectory. We have consistently ignored serious symptoms to the point where our economy is nearly a terminal case.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 26, 2009
Deflation: How to Survive the Deflationary Depression / Economics / Deflation
Governments across the world are increasingly adopting "Quantative Easing" aka "Printing Money" to fight against Deflation that is threatening to push global economies into a downward deflationary spiral towards a prolonged period of economic depression. The question is will printing money coupled with ZERO interest rates work ?Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Green Energy Policies Would Cripple the Economy / Economics / Renewable Energy
Will a green energy industry be an engine of economic growth? Many want us to think so, including our new President. Apparently a booming green economy with millions of new jobs is just around the corner. All we need is the right mix of government “incentives.”Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Five Signs the Economy is Recovering / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
What a relief. The markets are up. We're all saved. It's time to spend again. Borrow away. The panic's over. A recovery is coming in 2010. We're home free, right?
If you listened to Fed Chairman Bernanke today that's what we would be led to believe. He said “there is a reasonable prospect” the recession will end this year.
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Tuesday, February 24, 2009
How the US Economy Was Lost / Economics / US Economy
Paul Craig Roberts writes: The American economy has gone away. It is not coming back until free trade myths are buried six feet under. America's 20th century economic success was based on two things. Free trade was not one of them. America's economic success was based on protectionism, which was ensured by the union victory in the Civil War, and on British indebtedness, which destroyed the British pound as world reserve currency. Following World War II, the US dollar took the role as reserve currency, a privilege that allows the US to pay its international bills in its own currency.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
China's Internal Divisions, Economic Crisis and the Stimulus Plan / Economics / China Economy
Due in large part to fears of dire consequences if nothing were done to tackle the economic crisis, China rushed through a 4 trillion yuan (US$586 billion) economic stimulus package in November 2008. The plan cobbled together existing and new initiatives focused on massive infrastructure development projects (designed, among other things, to soak up surplus steel, cement and labor capacity), tax cuts, green energy programs, and rural development.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 24, 2009
Dispatches from the Front Lines of the Economic Crisis / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
The more they do, the worse it gets, and world headlines confirm it. Recent ones include:-- The New York Times, February 17: "After Manhattan's Office Boom, a Hard Fall;"
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Monday, February 23, 2009
Mainstream Economists Retarded Embrace of John Maynard Keynes' "Paradox of Thrift" / Economics / Economic Theory
Mainstream economists and the mainstream media continue to embrace John Maynard Keynes' notion of the "paradox of thrift." While most economists subscribe to the view that the pace of long-run economic growth is a function of productivity and thrift (saving), short-run growth can be retarded by too much thrift. According to this view, if households in the aggregate decide to cut back on their current spending, i.e., save more, aggregate economic demand will be negatively affected. Hence, the paradox of thrift. A little later in this commentary, I will try to dispel the notion that thrift retards growth in aggregate demand in the short run.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
Global Economic Outlook: 2012 and Beyond / Economics / Global Economy
Dr. Abbas Bakhtiar writes: It is said that today is pregnant with tomorrow. What and how we have done things in the past has shaped out today and what and how we do things today determine the shape of our future. To see into the future of our economies, with some small degree of certainty, we have to pay attention to what is happening around us and what we do.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
There's only one Cure for a Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
In contrast with a depression, a recession is relatively easy to bring to an end. The genesis of a recession is caused by excessive credit creation on the part of banks and the Fed. The superfluous money drives prices higher and the rate of inflation begins to increase at a pace that makes the Fed uncomfortable. The Central bank then begins to raise rates in order to soak up that liquidity and put an end to its easy monetary policy.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
Debt Addiction Depression Destruction / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
Modern economies were created by the collusion of bankers and government. The banks are now collapsing and only the governments are left. It's like watching a two legged man trying to stand on his one remaining leg. How long will he remain upright and in what direction will he fall?
Recently on the Oprah Winfrey Show, one of the most popular TV programs in America , a family of five—a father, mother, their two teenage sons and a baby—were featured because all, except for the baby, were addicted to heroin.
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