Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 29, 2011
Stocks Bear Markets Are Cunning Beasts / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Bear markets are cunning beasts.
Don't get me wrong -- we are not in the bear market territory yet. At least, not officially.
An "official" bear market begins when the stocks indexes decline 20%. The DJIA's decline from the May 2, 2011 high to the September 21 low is about 17%. Close, but no cigar.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
The Case for a Short-Term Stock Market Rally, And How to Play It / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
David Zeiler writes: The short-term market rally we've seen over the past week represents fresh opportunities to profit, but be forewarned - it won't last.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday rallied 272 points, or 2.5%, and followed with another 148-point, or 1.34%, gain on Tuesday. That's after last week's 738-point, or 6.4%, tumble. TheStandard & Poor's 500 Indexis up 3.4% this week after last week's 6.5% fall.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
Stock Market Flag...Flag....Flag / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Nearly eight weeks old. Not unusual, but definitely boring. The whipsaw driving everyone nuts. There are no rules for length of time. The flag could finally break with a loss of 1101 and reverse just when you think it's over with for the bulls. It could rise up out of the top of the most recent highs only to head fake again and fail, leaving the bulls disappointed. It could also just trade in this flag for a lot longer than it already has. Did that make your day!! The exponential moving averages are stopping the market cold on all rallies for now. Classic bear market action, which is what we're in until we can blow through 1260 on the S&P 500. It's not going to be happening any time soon, I'm afraid, if you're a bull. Sentiment has been holding the market up from breaking down, but that doesn't mean enough bad news can't hit and take us below, even if it's just temporarily. If we get enough bad news on bank defaults, or a default from Europe, we certainly could have another leg lower, even with sentiment such as it is.
Thursday, September 29, 2011
Forecasting the Current Financial Crisis and How to Profit From It / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Best Doug Casey interview ever? You decide.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Gary Shilling: U.S. Economy Going Into Recession and Deflation / Stock-Markets / Double Dip Recession
Economist Gary Shilling spoke about the outlook for the U.S. economy and Treasuries with Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker and Deirdre Bolton this morning. In August, Schilling correctly called the drop to below 3% on the 30-year Treasury yield. Today, he told Bloomberg TV that the S&P is going to 800 and by next year the economy will be in recession and deflation.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2011
The Most Dangerous Time Ever for Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The government has taken control. No longer is Washington about justice and liberty. It's all about money.
This is perhaps the most dangerous time ever to be an investor. Sounds dire, I know, but it is the truth.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Fed "Operation Twist" Threatens Long-Term Stock Returns and Retirement Lifestyles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The Federal Reserve's "Operation Twist" represents a $400 billion assault on retirement investment portfolios, pension funds, corporate stock valuations and the financial viability of state and local governments. As explored herein, the full potential effects of Operation Twist and related Federal Reserve policies include:
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Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Did the Past 7Weeks Stocks Rally Lull You to Sleep? Bear Markets Are Cunning Beasts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Bear markets are cunning beasts.
Don't get me wrong -- we are not in the bear market territory yet. At least, not officially.
An "official" bear market begins when the stocks indexes decline 20%. The DJIA's decline from the May 2, 2011 high to the September 21 low is about 17%. Close, but no cigar.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2011
Southeast Asia: Strong Economic Growth, Humming Factories, No Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Asian Economies
Martin Hutchinson writes: Gloom has enveloped most of the investment landscape these days, but there is still one region that offers strong growth and serious returns.
I'm talking about Southeast Asia.
There was a time when investors scoffed at the likes of Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. But no one's laughing now. The naysayers currently are all too busy pulling their money out of the regions they always assumed were safe - the United States, Europe, and even the trendy BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India, and China).
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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
BBC Speechless As Trader Warns of Stock Market Crash and Economic Collapse Is Coming / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
"know the stock market is finished. The euro, as far as they're concerned, they don't really care".
"For most traders, we don't really care that much how they're going to fix the economy, how they're going to fix the whole situation — our job is to make money from it," he said.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Most Likely A Prudent Time To Cover S&P 500 Shorts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
There is a sound axiom in the markets – “When the market does not do what you expect it to do, it is time to pay attention.” In terms of timing an entry point, our rationale for adding to our S&P 500 short positions (SH, RYURX) was based primarily on last Thursday’s breakout from a bullish flag pattern (see below). Yesterday’s sharp rally from 2:00 p.m. to 4:00 p.m. after the CNBC announcement pushed SH back into the flag below, meaning the breakout was in jeopardy of failing. This morning’s futures indicate we will get confirmation of the failed breakout at the open. Consequently, we will most likely exit our SH position within the first hour of trading today.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Euro-Zone Prepares to Print Trillions in Advance of Greece Debt Default / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
It's not just the financial and economic world that's being turned upside down with fast changing events in motion that will impact for many years. Last week saw that maybe energy does not equal mass X the speed of light squared. Eeeek ! There goes Einstein's theory of general relativity and the past 100 years of physics (if true) over the event horizon and into a black hole, though the theory has always had something major missing which is why there existed the fundamental disparity between quantum mechanics and general relativity that maybe we will get much closer towards understanding if E=MC2 is busted.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Prepare to Profit From the Next Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Martin Hutchinson writes: The notion of a stock market crash is a terrifying thought for most investors.
But it shouldn't be. After all, stock market crashes, properly played, can be just as profitable - if not more so - than bull-runs.
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Tuesday, September 27, 2011
Extreme Moves Leave Markets in Rare Territory / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
If you didn't pay much attention to global markets last week, here's what you missed...fears that the global economy is dangerously close to a recession due to the financial crisis in the eurozone and flatlining growth in the U.S. sent assets of all shapes and sizes into a tailspin.
Among the E7 and G7 countries, only two markets increased for the week--Pakistan (up 2.2 percent) and Japan (up 0.5 percent). Russia (down 12.2 percent) and Indonesia (down 10.7 percent) were the leaders in the opposite direction. The average return for the 14 countries was a 5.7 percent decline.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
A Strong Dollar Means Investor Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The Fed has been dumping billions of dollars into the US markets each and every trading day since late 2010. Because of this massive money creation the dollar became much weaker.
Movements in the dollar influence commodity prices, commodity prices influence bonds, which then influence stocks:
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Markets to Get Crushed, Gold to Soar / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Markets got crushed last week as the main catalysts of economic collapse continued to converge and interact to eradicate risk capital appetite. Both the Fed and European Central Banks are exuding a “deer in the headlights” kind of paralysis. Their only strategy appears to be finding new ways to load up the countries wallowing in debt with more debt at lower rates but for longer durations. Meanwhile, the assets they demand as collateral are the only ones worth anything. Thus, the Greeks are getting raped, and nothing worth anyting in Greece will be owned by Greeks.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
How to Survive a Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
David Zeiler writes: After a barrage of bad news -- a disappointing move by the U.S. Federal Reserve and a couple of really bad days for the world's key stock markets last week -- it would be understandable if you wanted to dump all your investments, stick the cash in a duffel bag, and move to the hills.
As an investor, that would be the biggest mistake you could make, says Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Euro Crisis, Too Big To Bail? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
During the first financial crisis whereby the like of Lehman Brothers failed we heard the war cry ‘Too Big To Fail’ trotted out by our political masters. As the next financial crisis approaches we might hear a new mantra; ‘Too Big To Bail’ as one or more of the larger banking institutions enters into bankruptcy.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Short China and the Not So Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Since February, I have called the market trend as a sideways pattern. This kind of trend dictates a move out of equities for the small active retail investors. I reiterate that call now and see far more risk to the downside than reward to the upside.
I note that anyone moving to cash as of my February call would have given away no upside profits and would, at this point in time, have been protected from a more than 10% loss.
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Stock Market Intermediate Support Breached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014 after this bull market has run its course.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Back to square one, with a good possibility that the 3-yr cycle will bring a new low. It already has for some other indices.
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