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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, January 17, 2011

UK Inflation Forecast 2011, Imminent Spike to Above CPI 4%, RPI 6% / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe last UK inflation data came in at CPI 3.3% and RPI 4.7% for November 2010, with real inflation at just above 6%, this is set against a continuous mantra in the mainstream press by pseudo economists / journalists that high inflation of above 3% was always just temporary and that it would resolve in a sub 2% rate by the end of the year (2010). Now a year on the same people that had misguided their readerships for virtually the whole of 2010 into avoiding inflation protection strategies that the coalition government has proceeded to strip away during 2010 such as scrapping of the RPI linked Index Linked National Savings certificates in June 2010, and are only now warning their readership's of the consequences of persistently high inflation that looks set to continue during 2011.

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Economics

Sunday, January 16, 2011

America Replicating Japan's Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Stephen_Lendman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAn except from Franck Biancheri's new book titled, "World Crisis: The Path to the World Afterwards" states:"The (current) financial and economic crisis....marks the end of the world order established after 1945." In 1991, the Soviet Union dissolved, and since fall 2007, we've "witness(ed) the accelerated decomposition of the 'Western pillar' with" America advancing disintegration.

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Economics

Saturday, January 15, 2011

Be Wary of Rosy Economic Outlooks for 2011 … and Profit Along the Way! / Economics / Global Economy

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast year Byron Wien, the former Morgan Stanley strategist, former billion-dollar hedge fund strategist, current Vice-Chairman of Blackstone and highly touted market prognosticator predicted 2010 would be a V-shaped recovery for the U.S. economy.

He was wrong …

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Economics

Saturday, January 15, 2011

The Global Economic Slump: Dramatic Job Losses in all Major Regions of the World / Economics / Unemployment

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleProf David McNally writes: I have never accepted the postmodernist contention that contemporary capitalism is all about smoke and mirrors. The notion that ideology and illusion make the system go round strikes me as another mode of reductionism – this one based on culture rather than, say, economics. But it must be said that, at first blush, the mainstream business media certainly offers some sustenance for the smoke and mirrors thesis.

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Economics

Saturday, January 15, 2011

Retail Sales Suggest Strong Q4 Consumer Spending / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Asha_Bangalore

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRetail sales increased 0.6% in December after a 0.8% gain in the prior month.  Building materials (+2.0%), autos (+1.0%), gasoline (+1.6%), and furniture (+1.0%) accounted for the relatively large gains among the components, while purchases of food (-0.6%), electronics (-0.6%) and clothing (-0.2%) dropped.  Unit auto sales count in the computation of consumer spending in the GDP report, which advanced to annual rate of 12.5 million units in December.  Autos sales rose 29% in the final three months of the year compared with a 0.3% gain in the third quarter. 

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Economics

Friday, January 14, 2011

We Could be in Great Depression II – But We’re Not! / Economics / US Economy

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGlobal financial authorities proved to be quite adept at reacting quickly, step-by-panicked step, to the financial crisis as it unfolded, making hasty dramatic moves dreamed up on the fly in panicked weekend meetings.

That the efforts worked is obvious. We are not in Great Depression II.

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Economics

Friday, January 14, 2011

Wholesale Price Index Lifted by Higher Energy, Food and Cigarette Prices / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Producer Price Index (PPI) for Finished Goods rose 1.1% in December after a 0.8% increase in the prior month.  According to the Labor Department, about 75% of the increase in finished goods price index was from the 3.7% jump of the energy price index.  Of the energy items in this index, gasoline prices posted the largest increase.  Higher food prices (+0.8%) also made a contribution to the overall wholesale price index, a large part of this increase (75%) is traced to the 22.8% jump in prices of fresh and dry vegetables.  In 2010, the wholesale price index has risen 4.0% after a 4.3% jump in 2009 and a nearly 1.0% drop in 2008. 

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Economics

Friday, January 14, 2011

Economic Ruination from Money Creation to Price Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Richard_Daughty

John Rubino at Dollar Collapse.com obviously thinks, like I do, that inflation is a Terrible, Terrible Thing (TTT).

To prove it, and to simultaneously prove to my wife, kids, relatives, co-workers and neighbors that I am not the "weirdest man who ever lived" as concerns inflation, I call him up on the phone!

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Economics

Friday, January 14, 2011

No Such Thing as Cost-Push Inflation; Demographics and the "Demand for Money" / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn China's Foreign Exchange Reserves Jump by Record $199 Billion; Cost Push Inflation from China? Don't Count On It! I stated ....

Strangely, nearly everyone insists inflation is roaring in the US instead of where it is roaring, China and India. The alleged proof of US inflation is a series of widely circulated charts of various commodity prices even though there has been little-to-no passthrough on any consumer prices except gasoline, and home prices are once again falling like a rock.
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Economics

Thursday, January 13, 2011

America's Economic and Social Crisis, No Fed Bailout for Main Street / Economics / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve was set up by bankers for bankers, and it has served them well.  Out of the blue, it came up with $12.3 trillion in nearly interest-free credit to bail the banks out of a credit crunch they created.  That same credit crisis has plunged state and local governments into insolvency, but the Fed has now delivered its ultimatum: there will be no “quantitative easing” for municipal governments.

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Economics

Thursday, January 13, 2011

Where Profit Comes From / Economics / Economic Theory

By: George_Reisman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLabor unions like to argue that the payment of higher wages is to the self-interest of employers because the wage earners will use their higher wages to make additional purchases from business firms, thereby increasing the sales revenues and profits of business firms. However, wrong and foolish it may be, this is an argument worth analyzing in some detail, because it can provide a gateway to a discussion of the actual sources of profit in the economic system.

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Economics

Thursday, January 13, 2011

U.S. Inflation Set to Soar as the Country's Chief Export Boomerangs Back Home / Economics / Inflation

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: While prices for food and energy have been rising, inflation in the United States has remained relatively subdued.

One common explanation for that phenomenon is that U.S. inflation has been "exported" to China and elsewhere through the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy. And given the perennial U.S. balance of payments deficit, it's good to know the country has found something it can successfully export!

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Economics

Thursday, January 13, 2011

Rising Consumer Inflation: The New World Order By Commodity / Economics / Inflation

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEver since the Great Recession, inflation has been put on the back burner, and deflation is seen as the greatest risk to the U.S. economy. Even as recent as Friday, Jan 7, Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke told the Senate Budget Committee that low inflation/deflation was a concern, as well as unemployment (more on the jobs situation here.)

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Economics

Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Global Aging and the Crisis of the 2020s, Demographic Storms Ahead / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom the fall of the Roman and the Mayan empires to the Black Death to the colonization of the New World and the youth-driven revolutions of the twentieth century, demographic trends have played a decisive role in many of the great invasions, political upheavals, migrations, and environmental catastrophes of history. By the 2020s, an ominous new conjuncture of demographic trends may once again threaten widespread disruption. I am, of course, talking about global aging, which is likely to have a profound effect on economic growth, living standards, and the shape of the world order.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Long Shadows Cast Over US Economy 2011 / Economics / US Economy

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNumerous are the threats to the USEconomy and US financial structures. Many are hidden threats, subtle challenges to undermine increasingly fragile support systems, planks, and cables that hold the system together. The year 2011 will be when the system breaks in open visible fashion, when the explanations that justify it sound silly and baseless, when the entire bond world endures major crashes. All thing financial are inter-related. Recall that in summer 2007, the professor occupying the US Federal Reserve claimed the subprime mortgage crisis was isolated.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Krugman's Straw-Man Market System / Economics / Economic Theory

By: William_Anderson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA friend of mine a decade ago was looking to do doctoral work in economics, and one of the places where he inquired was his state's flagship university. But he decided not to seek his doctorate at that particular place after he spoke to someone who was just about to defend his economics dissertation there.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 12, 2011

The Ruling Clan of India Has Lost the Plot on Inflation / Economics / India

By: Justin_John

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTHE PERILOUS COURSE
THE 2008 credit crisis exposed the financial whizkids on the Wall Street who hardly had an idea on where their acts were taking the financial markets . Years of booming markets made them complacent to risks that were building up in the system. Few saw the apocalypse that collapsed many venerable institutions.

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Economics

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

Hoover and Bush, Interventionism Turns Crisis into Great Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Mark_Thornton

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe most basic rule of economic policy is to allow prices to adjust to market conditions. This maintains Say's Law and produces what Frédéric Bastiat called economic harmony.

Furthermore, unhampered markets minimize distortions and disruptions introduced by external forces. Most importantly, the unhampered price system minimizes the impact of the business cycle on the economy. This paper examines two historical episodes where interventionist policies turned business cycle corrections into depressions.[1]

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Economics

Tuesday, January 11, 2011

John Williams Eyes Gold as Insurance Against Hyper Inflation Armageddon / Economics / HyperInflation

By: The_Gold_Report

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleStronger corporate balance sheets, tighter reins on costs and better stock performance in 2010 haven't swayed ShadowStats Editor John Williams' assertion that the bottom-bouncing economy is weaker than ever, with specters of hyperinflation and systemic financial collapse on the not-so-distant horizon. As he says in this exclusive Gold Report interview, the yellow metal is his "insurance against Armageddon"—or at least the single best asset that people can use to ride out the storm.

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Economics

Monday, January 10, 2011

Following the Efficient-Markets Hypothesis into Absurdity / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAustrians in the tradition of Mises and Rothbard stress the resilience of a free-market economy, and they believe that the institution of private property — along with the profit-and-loss test — will steer resources into their most valuable niches.

However, most Austrians stop short of following Chicago School economists' advocacy of the "efficient-markets hypothesis" (EMH). In its most extreme form, the EMH becomes a caricature of itself in which asset bubbles are not just unlikely but logically impossible.

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