Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, July 27, 2009
Economic Recovery Without the Feel Good Factor / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Money_Morning
William Patalon III writes:
When the initial estimates for the just-concluded second quarter are released next week, they’re expected to show that gross domestic-product (GDP) declined for the fourth quarter in a row.
Monday, July 27, 2009
US Economy: What Economic Recovery? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Gerard_Jackson
The Dow has passed the 9000 barrier. This has gotta be a recovery, right? After all, "the share market is forward looking". I'm afraid these people have confused forward looking with foresight. Never look to share markets as harbingers of growth or recession. Market watchers would know this if they paid more attention to history and less to charts. The American economy, for example, had already shown distinct signs of contracting several months before the Great Crash of 1929.
Sunday, July 26, 2009
California Public Employees’ Retirement System in Deep Trouble, Gambling on Riskier Bets / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Mike_Shedlock
Calpers, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System, is in deep trouble. Calpers got in trouble by not understanding risk. It still does not understand risk and thinks risk is the solution.
Saturday, July 25, 2009
Has the U.S. Economy Hit Bottom? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: MISES
Frank Shostak writes: Most experts and commentators are of the view that the worst of the US recession may be over by year's end. My own prediction is for an illusory recovery of government-constructed economic indicators, but nothing more than that.
Saturday, July 25, 2009
The Statistical Economic Recovery and the Last Stocks Bear Standing / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
The Return of Muddle Through*
Can China Lead the Global Recovery?
The Statistical Recovery
The Last Bear Standing
A lot of bullish commentators are talking about a recovery being in the works, and they may very well be right. But it is not going to look like any recovery worthy of the name. This week we look at what I will call The Statistical Recovery. But first we take a look at what China is doing, as we continue our look at the rest of the world and ponder whether it is time to brace ourselves for an extended bout with the Muddle Through Economy*. (And yes, there is an asterisk.)
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Saturday, July 25, 2009
We are in the Midst of Economic Disaster, Mass Continuing Layoffs / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: Stock market investors shrug off a disaster in our midst: mass layoffs. Investors act as though it will soon be business as usual. Companies cut costs by firing employees that have been with them for decades. Then the companies can report higher earnings from cost-cutting measures. The media then proclaim an increase in earnings. But how will these increases be sustained? How will an unemployment rate of 11% help get the economy back on its feet?
Friday, July 24, 2009
No Fed Policy Exit Strategy for Ben Bernanke / Economics / Quantitative Easing
By: Peter_Schiff
In a Wall Street Journal op-ed on Monday, and in congressional testimony later in the week, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke reassured all that thanks to his accurate foresight and deft use of the Fed's policy toolkit, he could maintain near zero percent interest rates for an extended period without creating inflation. With supernatural powers such as these, one wonders if Ben would be better employed by the Justice League rather than the Federal Reserve.
Friday, July 24, 2009
US Economy: Reeling Yes, Collapse No / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Chris_Galakoutis
Tens of millions of Americans had to be integrated back into a peacetime economy following World War II. America and its finest companies understood the importance of investing for their collective futures, and by the 1950’s, that social contract and the investment it provided helped launch one of the greatest booms in history, where America's industrial might was at its peak.
Friday, July 24, 2009
The Three Reasons China Will Lead the Global Economic Rebound / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: For U.S.-centric investors who question whether it's really necessary to invest in "risky" overseas markets, here's an important fact to consider: It's China - not the United States - that's leading us back from the brink of a global financial collapse.
Friday, July 24, 2009
British Economy Still in Trouble, UK GDP Contracts by 0.8% / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: MoneyWeek
John Stepek writes: British GDP shrunk by 0.8% in the second quarter of this year.
Until this morning, the good news had been coming thick and fast.
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Thursday, July 23, 2009
Bernanke Sidesteps Economic Crisis Issues / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: LewRockwell
In a recent international Bloomberg poll, Bernanke was rated by investors as the greatest central banker, the man who saved the world's economy.
All it took was a doubling of the monetary base and $3 trillion – as of today – of government bailout money.
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Thursday, July 23, 2009
Frugal McDougall, A Rhyme For Our Economic Times / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Frugal McDougall worked very hard,
Bought things with cash and not credit cards,
And when it came to the things that he bought,
Things that he needed were all that he sought.
Thursday, July 23, 2009
Global Depression Triggering the Evolution and Revolution of the Central Banking System / Economics / Central Banks
By: Global_Research
Andrew G Marshall writes: Humanity is on the verge of entering into the most tumultuous period in our history. The prospects of a global depression, the likes of which have never been seen before; a truly global war, on a scale never before imagined; and societal collapse, for which nations of the world are building totalitarian police states to control populations; are increasing by the day. The major global trend forecasters are sounding the alarms on economic depression, war, a return to fascism and a total reorganization of society.
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
When Deflation Isn’t Deflation / Economics / Deflation
By: Joshua_Burnett
The most common argument I run into when I tell people that hyperinflation is looming on the horizon revolves around the current “deflationary” period. People have a hard time seeing the U.S. turning into the next Zimbabwe when we’re supposedly not experiencing any inflation at all, let alone hyperinflation. The problem lies not in the fact that we’re actually experiencing deflation and that we’ll face a fundamental, 180 degree reversal in direction in the next few years; the issue is actually found in an institutional misunderstanding of macro economics and the role it plays in defining deflation.
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
For One Third of American's, Frugality is now the "New Normal" / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
A Gallop Poll of Americans’ future spending trends show One-Third Still Set on Spending Less.
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Meta Economics vs Quantitative Economics / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Christopher_Quigley
This brief essay is a summary of the idea "Meta-Economics" as introduced my E.F Schumacher in his classic book; "Small is Beautiful."
Economic: "Sufficient to give a good return for the money or resources expended."
Meta: "To transcend or go beyond."
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Can Japan Avoid Another Lost Economic Decade? / Economics / Japan Economy
By: RGE_Monitor
Deleted.
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
The Coming Great Government Debt Default / Economics / US Debt
By: LewRockwell
Gary North writes: Have you ever heard this argument? "The national debt is too high. We are laying an enormous burden onto our children."
It is misleading. In what way? Because our children, like Atlas in Ayn Rand's novel, will shrug. They will send Congress a message: "No more."
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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
The Case for Economic Depression, Demographics / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Moses_Kim
If I were a forecaster of economic trends and had access to only one piece of data, it would probably be demographics. The forecasting power of demographic trends is underappreciated even though cycles of booms and busts have historically mirrored the age characteristics of the population.
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
No Magical Elixir of Hope for Our Debt Based Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Sharon_Kayser
(Dirty banking secrets: our perpetual debt-based economy is generated by a global breakdown of semantic. 'Worldwide Ground Zero' will not be an Hollywood release.)
Insanity is doing the same thing over and over, and expecting a different result - A. Einstein