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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, February 14, 2009

Asian Economies In Free Fall as Exports Crash / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds are looking into details of Asia's Export Economies . Staggering falls in exports across Asia have shocked economic analysts and ended all claims that the global slump may be nearing its bottom. The IMF's growth forecast for Asia this year is just 2.7 percent—less than a third of the 9 percent growth rate of 2007. The prediction is a full percentage point less than during the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis.

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Economics

Saturday, February 14, 2009

World Trade Collapsing, Over-leveraged Bankrupt European Banks / Economics / Global Economy

By: John_Mauldin

  • Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTime for a Reality Check
  • World Trade Is Falling Off a Cliff
  • European Bank Losses Dwarf Those in the US
  • Geithner: "You Can't Handle the Truth"
  • Earnings Will Get Even Worse

It is not just the US that is in recession. The world is slowing down, and rapidly. This week we quickly survey the rest of the world, and then come back to the US. We follow up with the implications for corporate earnings worldwide, and specifically address my speculations about earnings forecasts for 2009.

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Economics

Saturday, February 14, 2009

The Road To Economic Recovery Has Potholes / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLet's take care of some old business first.

When I suggested a closer look at long positions in GE and BAC last week, I did not expect each of them to spike violently in two days. That was part luck.

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Economics

Friday, February 13, 2009

Economic Collapse Worse than the Great Depression: Video / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article' Worst Economic Collapse Ever' - In 2009 were going to see the worst economic collapse ever, the Greatest Depression, says Gerald Celente, U.S. trend forecaster. He believes its going to be very violent in the U.S., including there being a tax revolt.

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Economics

Thursday, February 12, 2009

UK Retail Sales Bounce Out of Deflation on Deep Discounting / Economics / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHeadline retail sales bounced strongly in December rising by 2% to an annualised 3.7% as distressed retailers slashed margins on stock to avert bankruptcy amidst price cutting in the wake of heavily discounted stock in the closing down sales of major retailers such as Woolworth's , Zavvi and Adams, that collectively account for some 50,000 jobs.

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Economics

Thursday, February 12, 2009

Economic Growth and Debt: Is there a Trade Off? / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Big Fix - The Obama administration apparently believes in a trade-off between growth and debt. It wants to stimulate fast growth and is willing to pay for it in the form of unprecedented increases in government debt, because it fully expects the growth to rake in tax revenues with which the debt can be retired. It invokes the experience with debt retirement after World War II. When the war ended, government debt stood at 120 percent of the gross national product, twice what it is now. The rapid economic growth during the 1950's and 1960's quickly reduced the debt. This is offered as a justification for the $800 billion stimulus package that is being railroaded through Congress, with more to follow later.

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Economics

Thursday, February 12, 2009

Germanys Economic Collapse as Stocks Trend Lower With Team Obama / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs of this writing, the short term trend of the market is decidedly down. Whether this lasts a day or two, or extends to a week or more is not knowable.

The reason? Timothy Geithner, President Barack Hussein Obama's choice for Treasury Secretary, was inadequate to the task given him. He said nothing concrete about the government's new proposals vis-à-vis the banking system, and the markets reacted (as markets do) when faced with ever more uncertainty: they collapsed.

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Economics

Thursday, February 12, 2009

America's Difficult but Not Impossible Economic Transition / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Chris_Galakoutis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere can be no denying the long history of greatness for America. Whether it be the election to its highest office of a leader who not only flung a long-shut door wide open, but ripped it off its hinges, or an American jetliner crew who safely crash lands a plane onto a frigid New York river, we are reminded of America's greatness every day.

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Economics

Thursday, February 12, 2009

Worst Recession In 100 Years / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the UK, Gordon Brown's closest ally says 'This is the worst recession for over 100 years' .
Ed Balls, the PM's closest ally, warns that downturn is ferocious and says impact will last 15 years.

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Economics

Thursday, February 12, 2009

Inflation Statistics Manipulation: The Goldsmiths Part XXIX / Economics / Market Manipulation

By: Robert_Bradshaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBeing an old man, and often living on a small social security check, it was logical that I would take an interest in the US government manipulation of the so-called inflation rate (from the CPI) since it affects the Cost of Living (COLA) payments due social security recipients and most other retirees.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

UK Economic Meltdown Continues Towards Price Deflation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of England's quarterly inflation report forecast UK inflation of just 0.5% in 2 years time, with the UK economy now forecast to have fallen by GDP 4% by the middle of this year. It was not so many months ago that the Bank of England was forecasting growth of 2% for 2009.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

U.S. Economy in Depression Destroying Wealth of Three Generations / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWealth Does Not Pass Three Generations - Microsoft Chief Executive Steve Ballmer likens economy to depressions of 1837, 1873, and 1929

Microsoft Chief Executive Steve Ballmer sketched a dire portrait of the world economy on Friday, likening it to market conditions in 1837, 1873, and 1929, each of which involved bank failures, high unemployment, and a depression.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

Deflation Is Here; Time to Protect Against Future Inflation? / Economics / Inflation

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNilus Mattive writes: It's clear that deflation has taken center stage in the U.S. economy. As I told my Dividend Superstars subscribers last month, you can see falling prices just about everywhere you look.

For example, the Consumer Price Index DROPPED 0.7% in December 2008. That's a marked departure from the gains we had been seeing. Even if you exclude food and gas prices, consumer prices were still flat for the month. What's more, the full-year data showed consumer prices rose a paltry 0.1% vs. a whopping 4.1% jump in 2007.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Ten Things You Should and Should Not Do During Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhilst today's headlines have been grabbed by Barack Obama's U.S. Economic Stimulus package of $800 billion, which is part of a global collective total of approximate $2 trillion of stimulus spending that has been committed for during the next 1 to 2 years. However the fact of the matter is that this does not even come close to countering the REAL Deflationary impact of the $30 trillion across the board loss of value of assets from real estate, to stocks to commodities.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Is the World Finally Ready to Accept the Deflationary Scenario? / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis article is part of a syndicated series about deflation from market analyst Robert Prechter, the world's foremost expert on and proponent of the deflationary scenario. For more on deflation and how you can survive it, download Prechter's FREE 60-page Deflation Survival Guide now .

The following article was adapted from Robert Prechter's 2002 New York Times, Wall Street Journal and Amazon best-seller, Conquer the Crash – You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression .

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Economics

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

UK Retail Price Deflation Will Soon Give Way to Inflation / Economics / UK Economy

By: MoneyWeek

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSales on the high street were surprisingly strong in January, reports the British Retail Consortium. Retailers saw their strongest sales growth in more than six months, beating gloomy City forecasts.

So is it time to go out and stock up on retail shares? Sadly not. Let's take a closer look at the figures...

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Economics

Monday, February 09, 2009

The Great Depression Facts: Double Dip Economic Slump / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleContrary to what you might believe, the Great Depression of the 1930s was not a decade-long era of economic decline. Rather, the Great Depression was made up of two distinct economic slumps - August 1929 through March 1933 and May 1937 through June 1938. As Chart 1 shows, the first recessionary period of the Great Depression was not only longer in duration, but more severe in magnitude. Notice, however, that a quite robust economic recovery/expansion occurred between the two recessions.

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Economics

Monday, February 09, 2009

Economic Stimulus Spending Breakdown Shows Repeating the Mistakes of Japan / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Washington Post is Taking Apart the $819 billion Stimulus Package with a couple of graphs that show how and when the stimulus money will be spent. Here is one of the graphs.

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Economics

Sunday, February 08, 2009

Employment Cycles During Recessions / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHouse Speaker Nancy Pelosi's blog has an interesting graph of What 3.6 Million Jobs Lost Over 13 Months Looks Like . This chart compares the job loss so far in this recession to job losses in the 1990-1991 recession and the 2001 recession – showing how dramatic and unprecedented the job loss over the last 13 months has been. Over the last 13 months, our economy has lost a total of 3.6 million jobs – and continuing job losses in the next few months are predicted.

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Economics

Sunday, February 08, 2009

Economic Depression 2009? / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Mick_Phoenix

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhilst the great inflation/deflation debate continues (its deflation that wins, the inflationistas are being misled by the Fed's actions with its bail out facilities) we need to look at some startling new facts and projections that have appeared in the public arena. My worry, as you can gather from the title of this article, is that we face a global depression that cannot be avoided even if the events discussed below favour the results that the Central Banks et al seek.

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