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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Will Keynesian Tax Cuts Deepen The Recession? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn one of the more ridiculous Keynesian theories to date, Gauti B. Eggertsson at the New York Fed comes to the conclusion Tax Cuts Will Deepen The Recession . Simple logic would dictate that letting people and businesses keep more of their money would be a good thing but amazingly Eggertsson comes to the opposite conclusion.

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Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2009

The Great Depression has Arrived- Collapsing American Dreams / Economics / Great Depression II

By: David_Vaughn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt almost seems amusing that we are still discussing the “coming” depression because of the fact that it is already arrived and settling in. Really, what this entire new “era” is all about is watching our dreams deteriorate right before our eyes.

Want to hear what the real world is like today? Country star John Rich dramatizes this well in his new song, “They're Shutting Detroit Down.”

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Economics

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Next Wave of Banking Crisis to Come from Eastern Europe / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: F_William_Engdahl

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEuropean banks face an entirely new wave of losses in coming months not yet calculated in any government bank rescue aid to date. Unlike the losses of US banks which derive initially from their exposures to low-quality sub-prime real estate and other securitized lending, the problems of western European banks, most especially in Austria, Sweden and perhaps Switzerland arise from the massive volumes of loans they made during the 2002-2007 period of extreme low international interest rates to clients in eastern European countries.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Gold Climbs as Global Economic Catastrophe Looms / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week, when Congress passed its $787 billion stimulus package, the size of the plan caused many observers to forget the water that has already passed under the bridge. Fewer still are wondering what havoc will erupt when all this liquidity eventually washes ashore.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Inflation, Deflation and Gold / Economics / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Inflation and deflation are both a crisis in money. Which leaves gold as a secure store of wealth against both monetary panics..."

THE 1970s DIDN'T JUST curse the world with cheap German wine and the Bay City Rollers.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Understanding the Difference Between Deflation and Hyperinflation: Deflationists Rebuttal / Economics / Deflation

By: Eric_deCarbonnel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article1) The euro is going to crash against the dollar because European bank losses dwarf those in the US

This bit of logic proves that deflationists (those predicting deflation in the US) don't understand deflation. Whether or not European bank losses dwarf those in the US, it is the euro that will rally against the dollar. Why? Because the euro zone, unlike the US, is about to experience real, honest-to-god deflation. Ironically, Deflation is staring deflationists in the face, and they are too blind to see it.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

European Banks $25 Trillion Financial Black Hole Hitting Euro-zone Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHappy that Oxbury now allows for immediate online feedback on its revamped website; I rather enjoy the opportunity to deal with the lesser lights among my readers. With respect to those who offered suggestions and reasonable criticisms, I'll suffice here with a nod of thanks. It's more to the fools that I address the following.

There's a lot of confusion about markets and their relationship to the economy. It's a confusion that arises directly from one's sense of self. What do I mean by that? Let me explain.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Sales Tax Time Bomb Explodes as Consumption in Freefall / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds are reading Holiday Blues: Weakness Unmatched In 35 Years

Consumption: From Excess to Freefall

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Economics

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Why Deflation is Better for the Economy than Inflation / Economics / Deflation

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBetween a Rock and a Hard Place - There was something about the article I wrote last week for Bourbon & Bayonets that touched a nerve with a lot of people. There wasn't a lot of middle-ground; readers loved it, hated it, or were annoyed with me for complaining without proposing a solution. I'm glad I was able to stir the pot and get something controversial enough on paper to bring out the passion on both sides of the arguments. This article isn't written to further my points and persuade those who disagreed with me. Instead I want to purpose what I see to be the best potential solution to a very difficult problem. I agree with the readers who took issue with my empty complaints. Today's article is written for those who see the problems, but wonder what choices or alternatives we have to current policy.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

U.S. Economic Weakness Unmatched in 35 Years / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the best gauges of an economy is tax collections. No one pays taxes unless they have to, so collections are a real-world, real-time analysis of the US economy. And the best source I know of for tracking taxes is The Liscio Report, by Philippa Dunne & Doug Henwood.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

UK Recession Watch- Britain's Great Depression? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe purpose of this analysis is to map out to the trend of the UK recession for 2009 and 2010 in terms of depth, the bottom and the potential recovery. The most recently released GDP data shows that the UK economy actually did fall off of the edge of a cliff during the fourth quarter of 2008 by contracting by a shocking 1.5% GDP. This compares against the governments recent forecast for 2% GDP contraction for the whole of 2009 which paints a picture of gross under estimation of the actual extent of the degree of economic contraction that is taking place at this time, and hence the adoption of the easy going terminology of "Quantative Easing" to hide the truth of money printing on a scale that could bankrupt Britain, the evidence of which has been played out in the currency markets with sterling's fall to a 23 year low against the dollar, a fall of over 30% in barely 6 months.

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Economics

Monday, February 16, 2009

Eastern European Economies About to Explode in a Chain Reaction of Debt Defaults / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEastern Europe is about to blow. If it does, it could take much of the EU with it. It's an emergency situation but there are no easy solutions. The IMF doesn't have the resources for a bailout of this size and the recession is spreading faster than relief efforts can be organized. Finance ministers and central bankers are running in circles trying to put out one fire after another. Its only a matter of time before they are overtaken by events. If one country is allowed to default, the dominoes could begin to tumble through the whole region. This could trigger dramatic changes in the political landscape. The rise of fascism is no longer out of the question.

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Economics

Monday, February 16, 2009

Bankrupt Britain: Europe Blames America While U.K Warned of Bankruptcy / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Chris_Tew

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNiall Ferguson, respected economic historian, warns of other European countries facing an Iceland style bankruptcy . 'Switzerland is first in line… and Britain is not far behind ,' he says.

While many politicians in Europe like to shift the blame for the credit crisis to the U.S. Niall points out that excessive lending and leveraging was much more endemic in countries such as Germany and the U.K.

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Economics

Monday, February 16, 2009

US, UK, Eurozone Banks Face Collapse: Global Banking System Insolvent / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith all the hype from various US dollar bears about the crisis with US banks, few on this side of the Atlantic are paying any attention to happenings in Europe.

For those who look, a strong case can be made that European banks are as bad off if not much worse off than their US counterparts.

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Economics

Monday, February 16, 2009

Obama Economic Stimulus: Truth and Consquences / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Money_and_Markets

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: Never before have I learned so much so quickly from my readers as I have now — all just by reading the thousands of comments you have posted on my blog in the past week!

One of your key questions: Will the new Obama stimulus and banking bailouts succeed or fail?

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Economics

Monday, February 16, 2009

Meat, Milk and Motors: The New China Syndrome / Economics / China Economy

By: Robert_Singer

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAugust 21, theatres around the nation screened the documentary I.O.U.S.A. and a live discussion with America's most notable financial leaders and policy experts, including Warren Buffett; William Niskanen, chairman of the Cato Institute; Pete Peterson, senior chairman of The Blackstone Group and former U.S. Comptroller General, Dave Walker.

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Economics

Sunday, February 15, 2009

Japan's Economy Collapses into Economic Depression / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Japan today released truly shocking GDP data for the fourth quarter of 2008, the Japanese economy contracted by 3.3% which equates to an annualised rate of 13.2% which is on par with magnitude of contraction that is associated with an economic depression. All exporting countries are experiencing a crash in exports which fell by 14% in the quarter, as western consumers stop buying and start saving. Japans industrial plunged by nearly 10% in December 2008, down 20% on the year earlier.

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Economics

Sunday, February 15, 2009

What if the World Stops Spending for Good / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Kevin_Geary

All the politicians and policy makers around the world are trying to do what actually may be impossible.

They are trying to get banks to lend again and they are trying to get "Joe Public" (consumers) to spend again. Nothing they are doing is working so far, and nothing they are likely to do will get banks to ease credit again, nor people around the world to spend again like there's no tomorrow, or in other words, like they did before yesterday.

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Economics

Sunday, February 15, 2009

China’s Stimulus Ignites Economy / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon Miller writes: China's giant $585 billion (4 trillion yuan) economic stimulus package is showing signs of taking effect. Economists now project that China will be the likely leader of an elusive worldwide economic recovery.

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Economics

Sunday, February 15, 2009

Global Recession, United States Economy in Least Worst Shape / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks Writes: Americans are beginning to realize the gravity of the current U.S. economic situation. After the new Treasury Secretary spoke earlier this week he left us with a very uncomfortable feeling: This problem is huge, and no one seems to have a real answer.

Still, the government feels it must produce an answer and prove that it is the ONLY entity that can fix this mess — via hundreds of billions (perhaps trillions) of U.S. dollars.

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