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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Trouble in Brazil or More Good Times Ahead? / Economics / Brazil

By: Mike_Stathis

Today, the Brazil's central bank is likely to raise its key interest rate, the SELIC as discussed in the January newsletter. Analysts estimate a 50 basis point hike. If this occurs, it will place short-term rates at 11.25%. The global inflation trend is driving this decision, as food and energy costs have hit Brazilian consumers particularly hard over the past several months. 

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

Systemic Global Economic Crisis At the Crossroads of Three Roads of Global Chaos / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis GEAB issue marks the fifth anniversary of the publication of the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin. In January 2006, on the occasion of the first issue, the LEAP/E2020 team indicated that a period of four to seven years was opening up which would be characterized by the “Fall of the Dollar Wall”, an event similar to the fall of the Berlin Wall which resulted, in the following years, in the collapse of the communist bloc then that of the USSR. Today, in this GEAB issue, which presents our thirty-two anticipations for 2011, we believe that the coming year will be a pivotal year in the roll out of this process between 2010 and 2013. It will be, in any case, a ruthless year because it will mark the entry into the terminal phase of the world before the crisis (1).

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

China's Inflation Problem Looms Large / Economics / Inflation

By: Peter_Schiff

The global economy has become so unbalanced that even government ministers who would normally have trouble explaining supply or demand clearly recognize that something has to give. To a very large extent the distortions are caused by China's long-standing policy of pegging its currency, the yuan, to the U.S. dollar. But as China's economy gains strength, and the American economy weakens, the cost and difficulty of maintaining the peg become ever greater, and eventually outweigh the benefits that the policy supposedly delivers to China. In the first few weeks of 2011 fresh evidence has arisen that shows just how difficult it has become for Beijing.

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Economics

Thursday, January 20, 2011

An Economic Recovery Unto Death / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the Bible there is a reference to a “sin unto death.” In the realm of U.S. economic policy a situation is developing that could easily lead to a “death” of the current recovery. Ironically, this brewing economic destruction is springing from the same policies that are responsible for the recovery (call it a “recovery unto death”). These policies are supposed to lead the U.S. out of recession and into a “new tomorrow” but as we’ll discuss here, the end result is likely to be something far short of what policy leaders envision.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

The Politics of Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: Vijay_Boyapati

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe reason that political establishments have always been biased against monetary deflation[1] can be found in the manner in which wealth transfer occurs under inflationary and deflationary environments.

During an inflationary credit expansion, wealth is transferred from the public in general to the earliest recipients of the newly created credit money. In practice, the earliest recipients are interest groups with the strongest political connections to the state and, in particular, the state institutions that control monetary policy (i.e., the Federal Reserve in the United States). Importantly, the wealth transfer that takes place during an inflation is hidden and largely unrecognized by the majority of the population. The population is unaware that the supply of money is increasing and the attendant rise in prices, ostensibly beneficial to business, initially

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Economics

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Malaysia’s Rich Natural Resources: The Next Great Asian Investment Opportunity / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Tony_Sagami

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week I flew to Penang, Malaysia, and traipsed around the countryside in sweltering heat and humidity looking for the next great Asian investment opportunity. I found several amazing ones. But some background first …

Penang is a fascinating island city that sits a few miles on the Indian Ocean side of the Malaysian mainland near the northern mouth of the Straits of Malacca. It is this strategic location that turned Penang into one of the most important commercial trading centers in Southeast Asia.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Protect Your Wealth from Central Bank Lies on Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you believe what central banks say and you plan your investments accordingly, you could be in for some big surprises.

Consider, for example, some of the lies spouting forth from the U.S. Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB) …

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Economics

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Defining Economics / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have grown to think that the definition of "economics" was the one found in the Mogambo Big Book Of Economic Stuff (MBBOES), which is, "The horrific inflation in prices caused by evil and/or stupid people creating excess money, perpetrators of which comprise a long, long list of evil people and/or stupid people, starting with the Federal Reserve, Congress, and the odious Supreme Court, whose particular idiocy is their traitorous decision to allow a fiat currency, instead of the dollar being defined as a specific weight of gold as required by the freaking Constitution of the United States, for crying out loud, a specific mandate purposely put there by the Founding Fathers to prevent inflation in the money supply, which causes inflation in prices, which is the Number One Killer Of Economies (NOKOE). See also Doomed, We're Freaking."

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Economics

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Tossing the U.S. Consumer Under the Bus And Insanely Expecting an Economic Recovery / Economics / US Economy

By: D_Sherman_Okst

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI’ve been pouring through the Fed Reserve’s recent release of circa 2005 FOMC meeting transcripts. The most striking observation that one can make is that the consumer - the very lifeblood that determines whether our economy will live or die - has been discarded.

Discarded --- as in tossed under the bus.

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Economics

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

UK Inflation CPI Hits 3.7%, Higher than Zimbabwe, Britain Sleep Walking towards Wage Price Spiral / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK Inflation for December 2010 soared to CPI 3.7% from 3.3% which is set against academic economist expectations of just a few hours earlier of 3.3%. This now puts UK inflation Higher than that of hyperinflation prone Zimbabwe's CPI at 3.2%, thus making a mockery of long standing commentary in the press that it was ridiculous to compare Britain's inflation problems with that of Zimbabwe.

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Economics

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

Is Mexico a Country on Fire? / Economics / Mexico

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust a three-hour drive from our offices in San Antonio lies an entrance to Mexico, one of the most promising but precarious investment opportunities in global markets. Like stepping on an ant hill, President Felipe Calderon’s war against the drug cartels has created chaos but the country’s economy has proven much tougher than many thought.

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Economics

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

The Many Euphemisms for Money Creation Inflation, Confused Language, Confused Thinking / Economics / Inflation

By: Thorsten_Polleit

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to the teachings of the Greek philosopher Parmenides, language illustrates human thinking (and reasoning); confused language is thus tantamount to confused thinking; confused thinking, in turn, provokes unintended acts and undesired outcomes.[1]

"Doublespeak" — a term that rose to prominence through the work of Eric Blair (1903–1950), more famously known as George Orwell — is a conspicuous form of confused language and thought. The term doublespeak was actually derived from the terms "newspeak" and "doublethink," which Orwell used in his novel Nineteen Eighty-Four, published in 1949.[2] While under suppressive Party instruction, the mind of the protagonist, Winston Smith

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Economics

Tuesday, January 18, 2011

U.S. Economic Growth Recession Continues, QE2's Problems / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLong-time readers of Outside the Box are familiar with the names Dr. Lacy Hunt and Van Hoisington. They are a regular feature here, as quite frankly, anything that Lacy writes or says I pay serious attention to. This is their regular quarterly report, where they outline seven things that are likely to retard US growth. An easy read, but take the time to think this through.

Hoisington Investment Management Company (www.hoisingtonmgt.com) is a registered investment advisor specializing in fixed-income portfolios for large institutional clients. Located in Austin, Texas, the firm has over $4 billion under management, composed of corporate and public funds, foundations, endowments, Taft-Hartley funds, and insurance companies.

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Economics

Monday, January 17, 2011

Is There a Conservative Case for QE? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI recently discussed David Frum's lament that conservative Republicans are defecting from "respectable" economists and joining the ranks of the Austrians. One of the reasons for this is that many conservative pundits — Frum included — are Keynesians, plain and simple. Many rank-and-file conservatives are recognizing that it makes no sense to lambast Obama's fiscal-stimulus package in one breath and praise Bernanke's monetary stimulus in the next.

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Economics

Monday, January 17, 2011

UK Inflation Forecast 2011, Imminent Spike to Above CPI 4%, RPI 6% / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe last UK inflation data came in at CPI 3.3% and RPI 4.7% for November 2010, with real inflation at just above 6%, this is set against a continuous mantra in the mainstream press by pseudo economists / journalists that high inflation of above 3% was always just temporary and that it would resolve in a sub 2% rate by the end of the year (2010). Now a year on the same people that had misguided their readerships for virtually the whole of 2010 into avoiding inflation protection strategies that the coalition government has proceeded to strip away during 2010 such as scrapping of the RPI linked Index Linked National Savings certificates in June 2010, and are only now warning their readership's of the consequences of persistently high inflation that looks set to continue during 2011.

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