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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

How to Profit from China's Consumer Boom Throttling Up GDP Growth / Economics / China Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: BEIJING, People's Republic of China – There's something inherently satisfying about waking up on a clear, crisp fall day in this bustling capital city, and seeing this headline atop the lead story in this morning's China Daily newspaper:

"World Bank Sees Change in Growth Pattern"

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Economics

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Deflation is Still a Problem Despite Fed Money Printing QE2 / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDeflation is not a problem because the Fed can always create inflation by printing more money.

Wrong.

While it's true that the Fed can print as much money as it chooses, adding to the money stock does not decrease deflation or increase inflation. It merely adds to the reserves the banks have at their disposal to lend out to businesses and consumers. Here's how British economist John Maynard Keynes summed it up:

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Economics

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Common Sense vs. Academic Economist Formulas; Fed Concludes Structurally High Unemployment is a Myth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBen Bernanke and the Fed have great belief in academic models whether they make any real world practical sense or not.

Indeed, Bernanke's reliance on formulas instead of common sense is what told him there was no housing bubble, that unemployment would not get above 8.5%, and that Quantitative Easing in massive force would cause the unemployment rate to drop. He was wrong on all counts.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Fed Pushes U.S. Economy into an Inflationary Death Spiral / Economics / Inflation

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt seems the Fed has given up on the idea that the country can build a viable and stable economy through the conventional means. Instead, our central bank has resorted to once again growing GDP and increasing employment by the creation of asset bubbles. This is a dangerous game that no one, least of all the Fed, knows how to play.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

U.S. Commercial and Industrial Demand for Loans Remains Weak / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed's Senior Loan Officer Survey results of October indicate that demand for commercial and industrial loans from large and medium sized firms was weaker compared with the third quarter survey (see chart 1).  A larger percentage of bankers indicated weaker demand from small firms.  This information is discouraging because stronger economic growth in the months ahead is tied to a likely pickup in loan demand. 

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Economics

Monday, November 08, 2010

Thinking Clearly about Capital, Interest, and Income / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNowadays, Austrian economists are most famous for their theory of the business cycle, as developed by Ludwig von Mises and Friedrich Hayek. However, they also made many contributions to the pure theory of capital and interest, most notably in the seminal work of Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk and later in that of Hayek. In the present article we'll see that these insights are relevant today, as mainstream economist Scott Sumner lashes out justifiably against absurd tax policies but, in the process, throws economic theory out the window too.

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Economics

Monday, November 08, 2010

The Business Boom-Bust Cycle in Microcosm / Economics / Economic Theory

By: George_Reisman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe essential features of the boom-bust business cycle can be understood by viewing them in terms of the financial circumstances of a single individual.

Thus, imagine that an ordinary person has been going about his life more or less living within his means. And now, one day, he receives a registered letter from a major bank. The letter informs him that he is the sole heir of a distant relative who possessed a substantial fortune, and that he should come into the bank's main office in his city to sign the necessary documents and receive all the necessary authorizations to henceforth dispose of this fortune as he sees fit. Naturally, he quickly goes in and takes possession of his newfound fortune.

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Economics

Monday, November 08, 2010

How the Government Lies About Low CPI Inflation, Krugman Deflation Propaganda / Economics / Inflation

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRobert Wenzel writes: With commodity prices soaring, Paul Krugman is in a trap with his deflation call, so he has decided to turn to Richard "I am not a crook" Nixon to explain why price inflation is really not happening.

Krugman tells us to forget about the prices that are going up. They are too volatile, he tells us. He says that what we should focus on are tricky sticky price indexes, specifically, core CPI.

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Economics

Monday, November 08, 2010

Lessons From the 1930's Great Depression, Create Jobs by Executive Order / Economics / Government Spending

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJeanne Mirer and Marjorie Cohn writes: On May 6, 1935, with the country in the midst of the Great Depression, and with indirect efforts to create jobs having not moved the needle of unemployment rates, President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed Executive Order 7034 and appropriated $4.8 billion for the Works Progress Administration (WPA). The WPA put millions of Americans to work constructing buildings, painting murals to decorate them, and performing plays for audiences that had never before seen a dramatic production. In the process, many were saved from poverty and starvation and the economy began to revive.

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Economics

Monday, November 08, 2010

Fed Debases the Imperial Dollar, Inflation, Stagnation and Higher Interest Rates Ahead / Economics / Inflation

By: Prof_Rodrigue_Trembl

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Under a paper money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation."Ben Bernanke, future Fed Chairman (in 2002)

“My thesis here is that cooperation between the monetary and fiscal authorities in Japan could help solve the problems that each policymaker faces on its own. Consider for example a tax cut for households and businesses that is explicitly coupled with incremental BOJ purchases of government debt – so that the tax cut is in effect financed by money creation. Moreover, assume that the Bank of Japan has made a commitment, by announcing a price-level target, to reflate the economy, so that much or all of the increase in the money stock is viewed as permanent.”Ben Bernanke, future Fed Chairman (in 2002)

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Economics

Saturday, November 06, 2010

Bernanke Leaps into a Liquidity Trap, Thoughts on the U.S. Employment Numbers / Economics / Economic Theory

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Few Thoughts on the Employment Numbers
Bernanke Leaps into a Liquidity Trap
How to Spot a Liquidity Trap
Toy Blocks

I am in London finishing my new book, The End Game, which will be out after the first of the year, as soon as Wiley can make it happen. Working with my co-author, Jonathan Tepper, we are making good progress. We intend to quit (a book like this is never finished) tomorrow afternoon.

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Economics

Saturday, November 06, 2010

U.S. October Employment Report Shows Economy is Slowly But Surely Retreating From the Cliff / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCivilian Unemployment Rate: 9.6% in October, virtually steady for five straight months. The unemployment rate was 5.0% in December 2007 when the recession commenced. Cycle high for recession is 10.1% in October 2009 and the cycle low (for the expansion that ended in December 2007) is 4.4% in March 2007.

Payroll Employment: 151,000 in October vs. -41,000 in September.  Private sector jobs increased 159,000 after a 107,000 increase in September.  Net gain of 93,000 jobs after revisions of private sector payroll estimates for August and September.

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Economics

Friday, November 05, 2010

Bernanke's Bubble Making Solutions Are the Problem / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mark_Thornton

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBen Bernanke, the man who purports to be the savior of the economy today, was actually deeply involved in creating the housing bubble, encouraging people to invest in toxic assets, and orchestrating the cover-up after the bubble collapsed. Now he is bludgeoning the economy into depression. Just like his predecessor Greenspan, his statements are replete with misleading, convoluted, and inconsistent claims, all designed to disguise the role of the Fed in the economic calamity.

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Economics

Friday, November 05, 2010

From QE2 To Economic Titanic, The Global Asset Inflation Surge / Economics / Inflation

By: Andrew_McKillop

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBen Bernanke has cranked the U.S. Fed's printing presses one more time, with a new injection of US$ 600 billion. Market operators have responded with the only tune they know: bid up all hard asset real resource prices in the Commodities space and, for a while, also talk up their paper cousins in the Equities space, while the US dollar wilts by the hour. Not so far forward, however, this creation of virtual value will hit the iceberg of runaway asset inflation, then vast deflation, as QE2 turns to Titanic.

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Economics

Thursday, November 04, 2010

John Locke vs. the Mercantilists and Inflationists / Economics / Inflation

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom the early decades of the 17th century, English mercantilists were bitter at the superior prosperity and economic growth enjoyed by the Dutch. Observing that the rate of interest was lower in Holland than in England, they chose to leap to the causal analysis that the cause of the superior Dutch prosperity was Holland's low rate of interest, and that therefore it was the task of the English government to force the maximum rate of interest down until the interest rate was lower than in Holland.

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