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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, November 06, 2011

Disappointing U.S. Non Farm Payrolls Number / Economics / Employment

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Birth-Death Model was out of normal to the high side enough to raise a comment. This is shown in the first slide. Lately the BLS statisticians had not resorted to this and had actually been running at estimates a little more to what one might expect in a business slump.

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Economics

Sunday, November 06, 2011

Solutions to the Global Economic Crisis: Keynesian Myths, Hopes and Illusions / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIsmael Hossein-zadeh writes: The Keynesian view that the government can fine tune the economy through “appropriate” fiscal and monetary policies to maintain continuous growth at or near full employment is based on the idea that capitalism can be controlled by the state and managed by professional economists from government departments, that is, capitalism run by “experts” in the interest of all. Economic policy making according to this view is largely a matter of technical expertise or economic know-how, that is, a matter of choice.

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Economics

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Stupid Government Tricks, Let’s Tax the Millionaires, Where Will the Jobs Come From? / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI find myself in Liam's taxi on the beautiful drive to Kilkenny through the Irish countryside for a few hours this very early Friday morning, so what better time to begin writing about employment than in a country that is struggling, just as most of the developed world is, to find good jobs for its people. I'm on my way to a conference that will talk about the economics that is driving the world's leading governments to distraction in Cannes. Is Greece going to vote? Take the money? Will it be an orderly default? Should Ireland default? Whatever I write, the situation will change as soon as I hit the send button tonight. (For the record, I think Greece should have a referendum. You don't go into what they are getting ready to suffer without national buy-in. No elitist deals. Put it to the people to decide, one way or the other.)

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Economics

Saturday, November 05, 2011

U.S. October Employment Situation Means Fed Can Watch From the Sidelines, For Now / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCivilian Unemployment Rate: 9.0% in October, down from 9.1% in September. Cycle high jobless rate for the recent recession is 10.1% in October 2009.

Payroll Employment: +80,000 jobs in October vs. +158,000 in September. Private sector jobs increased 104,000 after a gain of 191,000 in September. Addition of 102,000 jobs after revisions to payroll estimates of August and September

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Economics

Saturday, November 05, 2011

Global Economy is at the Mercy of Tiny Greece? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt’s incredible when you think about it.

Greece is one of the smallest countries and economies in the world. Its population is 11 million people out of the 492 million in the combined European Union countries, and compared to 312 million in the U.S., 1.3 billion in China, 1.2 billion in India.

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Economics

Friday, November 04, 2011

U.S. Jobs Market Won't Normalize Until At Least 2023 / Economics / Employment

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: Disgruntled American workers have yet another reason for pessimism: At the current rate of job creation, the U.S. unemployment rate will not fall back to "normal" levels - below 6% - until 2023.

Through most of this year the U.S. economy has managed to create about 119,000 jobs per month, but that's barely enough to keep pace with population growth. Only job creation levels of well over 120,000 jobs per month will drive down the 9.1% unemployment rate.

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Economics

Friday, November 04, 2011

Is Debt Necessary for Economic Recovery? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince the crisis began, one of the dominant themes in arguments over proper government policy has been the Keynesian view that it is crucial to prop up total spending. The added twist during this particular recession is the crushing burden of private-sector debt, which allegedly makes it all the more urgent for governments to run fiscal deficits.

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Economics

Friday, November 04, 2011

U.S. Economic Productivity Improves, Labor Cost Remains Contained / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Productivity of the U.S. economy rose 3.1% in the third quarter, after posting decline in the first-half of the year. The downside of the improvement in productivity in the present environment is that it prevents firms from increasing payrolls.

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Economics

Thursday, November 03, 2011

Look at the U.S. Postal Service and see the future of the Federal Government / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNiall Ferguson is my favorite Establishment analyst, because he is an historian who understands a lot about free markets. He writes for the literati. He starred in a PBS series that was worth viewing, and another is scheduled in 2012. He teaches at Harvard University and the Harvard Business School.

He thinks America is running an empire, and he thinks it will not survive much longer. As with all empires, it is going to run out of wealth to support it. So, when he wrote a piece for the Daily Beast, Newsweek, I read it.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 02, 2011

Will Greece 50% Debt Default Plan Fix the Euro-zone? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Frank_Shostak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast Thursday, October 27, European leaders secured an agreement from eurozone banks to take a 50 percent loss on the face value of their Greek debt. The leaders also set in place a plan to force banks to raise new capital to insulate them from potential sovereign-debt defaults.

The banks must meet 9 percent capital reserves by June 30, 2012. It is estimated banks' capital needs will stand at 106 billion euros.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 01, 2011

How China Drives the Global Economy / Economics / China Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUnless investors get spooked today during Halloween trading, the S&P 500 Index will post its second-best month since the post-World War II era, according to a report published by GaveKal Research. The last time markets rallied so strongly, Gerald Ford had recently moved into the White House and Muhammad Ali "rumbled in the jungle" with George Foreman.

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Economics

Monday, October 31, 2011

Why 7 Billionth Person's Birthday Is Nothing to Celebrate / Economics / Demographics

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: The world's 7 billionth person is likely to be born today (Monday).

However, this birthday isn't something to celebrate.

Since the global population passed 6 billion only in late 1999, we've added more than 80 million people each year on average. And the environmental footprint of those people is expanding rapidly as emerging market populations modernize.

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Economics

Monday, October 31, 2011

Is the U.S. Consumer Spending Surge a 'Dance of Economic Death'? / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe latest economic headline came as a surprise to the pundits, though it actually makes perfect sense from a psychological standpoint. On Friday the Associated Press informed us of "Americans spending more with income almost flat," per the headline. At first glance this seems almost counterintuitive, yet the sub-heading of this A.P. story put it into perspective: "Americans find tiny returns on savings and decide to spend."

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Economics

Monday, October 31, 2011

Sectors Most Likely To Gain Jobs By 2015 / Economics / Employment

By: EconMatters

The job market is terrible, and the situation isn’t getting any better. The U.S. national unemployment rate is stagnant at 9.1% in September, and the jobs picture across America at state level didn't change much either, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

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Economics

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Happy 7th Billion Person Planet Earth / Economics / Demographics

By: Trader_Mark

If the United Nations estimates are anywhere near correct, today marks the day the world's population hits 7 billion.  Could be off a few days one way or the other, but you get the gist.  I actually did a story about this in 2008 - looks like it came a few months earlier than predicted!  [Jun 20, 2008: World Population to Hit 7 Billion by 2012] Obviously this is not a 'fast money' trading event, but considering it was just twelve years ago the planet hit 6 billion, it's a pretty amazing milestone.  Projections are for another two billion in about 2 generations (2050ish).  From an investing perspective the growth of the world's middle class is an important development, as is the wage/labor pressure from hundreds of millions continuing to flood the world's labor markets.  Tom Stevenson from Fidelity takes a look at three key outcomes from this, some of which we've discussed quite a bit a few years ago.  Note - Nebraska farmland is up 20-30% year over year, as the 'farmland' trade is one of the big long term winners.

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Economics

Sunday, October 30, 2011

Strawberry Fields Finance, Debt Growth - Economic Contraction / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Andrew_McKillop

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLong ago the Beatles sang that nothing is real but its nothing to get hung about. In the global finance system however, cracking sounds are real and able to mightily hang up business as usual.  Europe's sovereign debt financing charade has reached daily heights of unreality as the Greek crisis shifts to rising bond rates on Italian debt, with Spanish, French - and German - debt financing crises promised, or threatened for later on. Maybe soon.

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Economics

Saturday, October 29, 2011

U.S. Consumer Spending is Likely to Show Tepid Growth Once Again / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Real consumer spending increased 0.5% in September after a steady reading in August. In the third quarter, consumer spending increased at an annual rate of 2.4% vs. 0.7% in the second quarter. At first blush this is impressive, but digging further leads to a different story. The saving rate of households fell to 3.6% in September, putting the quarterly average at 4.1% vs. 5.0% in the first-half of the year.

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Economics

Friday, October 28, 2011

U.S. Real GDP Momentum Pickup Buys Time Before Fed Acts Again / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReal gross domestic product (GDP) of the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.5% in the third quarter after registering an abysmally slow performance in the first-half of the year (+0.9%). The headline and details of the third quarter GDP report are both encouraging given that considerations of a double dip surfaced in recent weeks.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

U.S. Consumer Confidence Index Near Recession Low in October / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index dropped 6.6 points to 39.8 in October. This reading is approaching the recession low of 25.3 recorded in February 2009. The Present Situation Index fell 7.0 points to 26.3, while the Expectations Index dropped to 48.7 from 55.1 in September. Essentially, the latest consumer confidence numbers are raising a red flag in an already weak economic environment.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 25, 2011

The Real Debt Crisis Contagion Risk / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Dr_Martenson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAround here we like to track things from the outside in, as the initial movements at the periphery tend to give us an early warning of when things might go wrong at the center. It is always the marginal country, weakest stock in a sector, or fringe population that gives us the early warning that trouble is afoot. For example, rising food stamp utilization and poverty levels in the US indicate that economic hardship is progressing from the lower socioeconomic levels up towards the center -- that is, from the outside in.

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