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1.BrExit Looks Set to Win EU Referendum, Final Opinion Polls Give LEAVE Lead Over REMAIN - Nadeem_Walayat
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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, April 25, 2011

Inflation is No Miracle Cure, Impossible to Inflation Out of this Mess / Economics / Inflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInquiring minds are reading The "Miracle" of Compound Inflation by John Mauldin. Here are a few paragraphs worthy of a closer look.

Albert Einstein is famously quoted as saying, "Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world." And compounding is indeed the topic of this week's shorter than usual letter, but compounding not of interest but of inflation.

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Economics

Sunday, April 24, 2011

Deepening Economic Crisis: Inflation, Rising Interest Rates, Surge in the Price of Gold and Silver / Economics / Inflation

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomic recovery does not seem to be taking effect in spite of more massive expenditures by Congress and the Fed. The IMF says financial stability has improved, but then again their vision is almost always clouded. US tax revenues are not increasing in a meaningful way, manufacturing struggles to expand and Wall Street flourishes in a cascade of mega salaries and bonuses. In another six months the US will be three years what the government, the media and Wall Street call a deep recession. We call it an inflationary depression, which has existed for 26 months. After eight years of increasing money and credit, and the creation of a real estate bubble, the Fed has been fighting off asset destruction with ever more money and credit accompanied by debt deflation. Part of the Fed’s policy has been zero interest rates, which has helped Wall Street and banking and to a limited extent real estate, but has destroyed the purchasing power of retirees and has driven funds into speculation, which in many cases has ended in ever more losses and less buying power.

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Economics

Sunday, April 24, 2011

The 'Miracle' of Compound Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlbert Einstein is famously quoted as saying, "Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world." And compounding is indeed the topic of this week's shorter than usual letter, but compounding not of interest but of inflation. As you might expect, I am giving a great deal of thought as to how we get out of our current financial dilemma of too much debt and deficits that are far too high. While I will use US data for our illustration, the principles are the same for any country.

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Economics

Sunday, April 24, 2011

BRIC Inflation, GDP, Stock Indexes, Monetary Policy Economic Analysis / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: EconGrapher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week the focus goes to the giants of the emerging markets, the "BRIC" economies (the economic/investment one, not the political club). In this edition we review inflation, GDP, monetary policy and the stock markets of Brazil, Russia, India, and China. Also thrown in is a quick review of the monetary policy decisions over the past week.

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Economics

Saturday, April 23, 2011

The Deflation Threat is Still Alive, Here's Why / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

"Every excess causes a defect; every defect an excess. Every sweet hath its sour...The waves of the sea do not more speedily seek a level from their loftiest tossing, than the varieties of condition tend to equalize themselves."

This quote comes from Ralph Waldo Emerson's essay, "Compensation." He opens the essay with a poem which includes these two lines:

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Economics

Friday, April 22, 2011

Whiff of Decelerating Trend in Second Tier U.S. Economic Reports / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe March employment report, including a 8.8% unemployment rate and a gain of 230,000 private sector jobs, set a bullish tone early in the month, but today's reports are sending a different message.  Initial jobless claims fell 13,000 to 403,000 during the week ended April 16.  The four-week moving average at 399,000 has moved up 391,000 posted four weeks ago. 

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Economics

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Fear the Economic Boom, Not the Bust / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePatrick Barron writes: All of the industrial world's central banks and public treasuries currently are engaged in an impossible exercise — trying to reinflate an artificially created boom through zero interest rates and deficit spending. The reality is that the current financial crisis was caused by central-bank money expansion, so it cannot be cured by further money expansion. It is as if a doctor is continuing to bleed a patient who is already bleeding to death.

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Economics

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Slowing U.S. Economic Recovery Faces Strong Headwinds in 2011 / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKerri Shannon writes: The U.S. economic recovery has been heading upward, but high unemployment and rising energy prices will weigh heavily on consumers and slow U.S. growth.

Many economists don't think the U.S. economy will maintain the 3.1% growth rate it established in 2010's fourth quarter. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) says that while global growth this year will continue at a rate of 4.8%, advanced regions like the United States will grow at a slower rate than emerging economies.

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Economics

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Is Deflation Still a Threat, the Deflation Survival Guide" Gives the Answer / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

"Every excess causes a defect; every defect an excess. Every sweet hath its sour...The waves of the sea do not more speedily seek a level from their loftiest tossing, than the varieties of condition tend to equalize themselves."

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Economics

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Will China’s Economy Overheat? / Economics / China Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChina’s GDP growth continued at a blistering pace during the first quarter of 2011, rising 9.7 percent from the previous year, according to economic data released today from the People’s Bank of China. Once again this outpaced many forecasts—even that of the Chinese government—and reignited the discussion of China’s overheating economy. While its robust growth may raise a few eyebrows, the economy isn’t in danger of “red-lining.”

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Economics

Monday, April 18, 2011

Inflation Destroys Real Wages / Economics / Inflation

By: Michael_Pento

In the same vein as medieval physicians believed bloodletting would cure illness, modern snake-oil economists still perilously cling to their claim that rising wages and salaries are the cause of inflation. With my recent debates with these mainstream economists, I've heard the following: "without rising wages, where does the money come from to push prices higher?" I was tempted to respond, "where do the employers get the money to pay those higher wages?" But economists tend to get a little nasty when you make them feel stupid.

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Economics

Monday, April 18, 2011

Japan, the Forgotten Protectionist Threat / Economics / Protectionism

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEveryone's worried about China today on the trade front. And they should be.

But let's not forget that China is only the most brazen player of one-way free trade out there. We ran a $273 billion deficit with China in 2010, but we also ran an $80 billion deficit with the European Union and a $60 billion deficit with Japan.

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Economics

Sunday, April 17, 2011

Inflation Versus Hyperinflation, The Crucial Difference / Economics / Inflation

By: Justice_Litle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs it possible we will see hyperinflation in the United States? Yes, but not by the route you might think...

"Hyperinflation." You've heard the word. You may have talked about it on the golf course or at the dinner table. (Or even in the grocery store.)

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Economics

Sunday, April 17, 2011

Spiralling Public Debt and Economic Stagnation in the European Union / Economics / Euro-Zone

By: Bob_Chapman

Europe continues to struggle from one problem to another. The euro has been strong only because the dollar has been weak. The governments of Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain continue their balancing acts on the edge of a financial precipice. All have Socialist governments, which have done terrible jobs, but the opposition is not much better. Each economy is in serious trouble and if Italy and Belgium follow it will take $4 trillion to bail them out. If the solvent EU members bail them out they’ll fail as well. Americans and Brits can look down their noses, but their problems are just as bad if not worse. They all have practiced different versions of Keynesian economics that has been disastrous. Their fiscal and monetary policies have been and continue to be out of control, as corruption abounds. The solutions are unpalatable, especially for politicians, because they all spell austerity. We have just seen the European Central Bank raise interest rates as euro zone economies slow, as they hope to arrest 2.8% official inflation. Real inflation is double that number.

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Economics

Saturday, April 16, 2011

Deflation, Hyperinflation and Stagflation, Where Do We Stand? / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWell, the good news for everyone is that nothing seems inevitable here, that there is almost always a choice, but it is often wrapped up in a nice looking rationale, with all the compulsion of a necessity, for the good of the people. Us versus them in a battle for survival and all that. And clever leaders on the extremes provide the 'them' to be dehumanized and objectified. The leftist wishes to murder the bankers, and the fascist the lower classes and outsiders. The extremes of both end up making life miserable for almost everybody except for a privileged few.

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