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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, October 16, 2010

Fed Chairman Bernanke Presents a Case for QE2, CPI Remains Subdued / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChairman Bernanke's remarks, Friday morning, have confirmed expectations that a second round of quantitative easing (QE) will be put in place on November 3. 

     "Given the Committee's objectives, there would appear--all else being equal--to be a case for further action."

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Economics

Friday, October 15, 2010

Widening U.S. Trade Deficit Will Trim Q3 Real GDP Growth / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe trade deficit widened to $46.3 billion in August, reflecting a small increase in exports and a large jump of imports. The July-August data suggest that the trade deficit will trim the headline real GDP reading in the third quarter.

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Economics

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Nobel Committee in Search of Economists / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis year's Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics goes to Peter Diamond, Dale Mortensen, and Christopher Pissarides, for their work on "search theory," especially as applied to labor markets. In the present article I'll explain the basics of their contribution but then point out the crisis in mainstream economics: even though these economists — especially Diamond — are very smart and productive, they and their colleagues have hardly helped the plight of the unemployed, as we stumble ever deeper into depression.

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Economics

Thursday, October 14, 2010

China Casts Shadow Over Asia, Flawed Conventional Wisdom on the Chinese Economy / Economics / China Economy

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe summer is over in Denver. Of course, in Denver the summer was officially over Labor Day weekend, when the outdoor swimming pools were drained and locked for the winter. For most people summer ended a few weeks later, when the leaves turned bright yellow. But not me, I wanted to hang on to this summer for as long as I could; I really did not want it to go. But my illusions were finally shattered a few days ago by rain, chilly winds, and almost-bare trees. My deliberate (though mostly harmless) failure to recognize the obvious is similar to an investor hanging on to the illusion that Quantitative Easing, the Sequel will change the fundamentals of the economy. It won’t, it will just entrap us in more debt and low interest rates. But that is a subject for a different time.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Nobel Award in Darwin Economics, Nominee for 2010 / Economics / Elliott Wave Theory

By: D_Sherman_Okst

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNamed in honor of Charles Darwin, the Darwin Awards commemorate those who improve our gene pool by accidentally removing themselves from it. I therefore propose the ‘Nobel Award in Darwin Economics’. The recipient of the award would graciously be asked to remove (just) their ‘economic genes’ from our economic gene pool. If they teach economics, they’d be asked to cease and desist, if they were the Secretary of the Treasury, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, or the President of the United States they’d be asked to resign.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Job Creation and Green Energy Sector / Economics / Energy Resources

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEven though unemployment claims drop, while job openings rise in September, the U.S. economy still shed 95,000 jobs in September with steep losses in government employment offsetting moderate rise in private sectors, based on the latest Labor Department reports.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Bank of England Prepares to Print Money Despite High Inflation at CPI 3.1% / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK Inflation for September 2010 was unchanged at CPI 3.1%, remaining stubbornly above the Bank of England's upper limit of 3% and target of 2%, despite virtually 10 months of worthless mantra from the BoE Governor that high inflation was ALWAYS just temporary and imminently expected to fall back to below the 2% target. The more recognised RPI (real inflation) measure dipped marginally from 4.7% from 4.6% and which compares against average pay rises of 2% which illustrates the squeeze that ordinary people are experiencing especially as taxes rise and Government spending is cut.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Fed Deflation Concerns Trump Inflation Worries / Economics / Deflation

By: Bob_Browne

Sluggish job data released in the United States last week will once again highlight the U.S. Federal Reserve’s primary policy concern: an economic retreat back into a recession followed by years of deflation. We have never been in the double-dip camp, but we have no doubt about the Fed’s priorities, and neither does the global investment community. The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, William Dudley, made it clear that the near-term risk of deflation trumped any long-term concerns about inflation. In fact, the market is now reasonably assuming the Fed is once again committed to asset inflation as a way to re-energize the real economy. The result has been a scramble for risky assets, and “The Bernanke Put” is already joining the popular market lexicon.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Krugman is a Smart Fellow but Obsessed with Government Spending / Economics / Economic Theory

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMurray Sabrin writes: Paul Krugman wears many hats — Princeton University professor, New York Times columnist, Nobel Laureate in Economics (2008), prolific author of scholarly books and journal articles, and now president of the Eastern Economic Association. The EEA is a regional scholarly group that publishes a journal and holds an annual academic conference in New York City every other year. The EEA is housed in the Anisfield School of Business, at Ramapo College, where I have taught Corporate Finance, and Financial Markets and Institutions for the past 25 years.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

The U.S. Fed Wants an Inflation Boom / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs long time readers know, I am a big fan of Greg Weldon. This week he has very graciously allowed me to reproduce his client letter from last Thursday on some of the issues of Bernanke and Quantitative Easing 2. It prints a little longer than usual because of his format and all the charts, but this is one letter you should take the time to read.

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Economics

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Paul Krugman "I Told You So" Keynesian Stimulus Economic Nonsense / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs predicted on numerous occasions, Paul Krugman is once again pleading for still more Keynesian stimulus. Please consider Hey, Small Spender

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Economics

Monday, October 11, 2010

Fed Mandates Inflation Creation / Economics / Inflation

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMuch of the content of the latest Fed statement, released on September 21, echoes the central bank's previous post-credit crunch pronouncements: there is still too much slack in the economy, interest rates are still going to be near-zero for an "extended period," and the Fed will continue to use payments from its Treasury purchases to buy yet more Treasuries.

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Economics

Sunday, October 10, 2010

US Economy Doing a Great Imitation of a Developing Double Dip Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe September Non-Farm Payrolls report was not good news.

This is a remarkably unnatural US economic recovery, with gold, silver, and other key commodities soaring in price, the near end of the Treasury curve hitting record low interest rates, and stocks steadily rallying as employment slumps and the median wage continues to decline.

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Economics

Sunday, October 10, 2010

QE2 Won, But Won’t Un-Block America’s Economic Stagnation, Now Keynes’ Nuclear BubbleOmics / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe justification for QE1 was that there was a “loss of control” and it was likely there would be a train wreck. The evidence that it was successful is that there was not a train wreck; although there was a bit of a scrape.

It’s impossible to say whether America and/or the World would be a better place if …

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Economics

Sunday, October 10, 2010

The Ride of the Keynesian Economic Cowboys, Will More QE Make Any Difference? / Economics / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTeachers Don't Count?
The Rise of the Temporary Worker
The Ride of the Keynesian Cowboys
Let Us Count the Unintended Consequences

To ease or not to ease? That is the question we will take up this week. And if we do get another round of quantitative easing (QE2), will it make any difference? As I asked last week, what if they threw an inflation party and no one came? We will take as our launching pad today's unemployment numbers, which serve to demonstrate just why the Fed may in fact be ready for some monetary shock and awe.

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Economics

Saturday, October 09, 2010

Economic Nonsense From the Washington Post / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe only genuinely good news in Friday's jobs report was the much needed shedding of 159,000 government workers of which only 77,000 were temporary census workers.

Shed another million government workers and you have a small start as to what needs to happen. Some don't see it that way, including Erza Klein at the Washington Post.

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Economics

Saturday, October 09, 2010

U.S. Economy is Faltering, Inflationary Depression is in Progress / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn spite of the disinformation, misdirection and outright propaganda the economy is faltering without the addition of stimulus and quantitative easing. The benefits of inventory accumulation over the past 17 months, which accounted for 60% of the strength in the economy is at an end. We either get more stimulus either governmental or from the privately owned Fed or growth is going to continue to drop. We are looking at indexes that for the most part are at or near their lows. We see short reactive rallies but certainly nothing that leaves us to believe that any kind of a recovery is at hand.

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Economics

Saturday, October 09, 2010

September Employment Situation Data Reinforces Expectations of QE2 on November 3rd / Economics / Employment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCivilian Unemployment Rate: 9.6% in September, virtually steady for four straight months. The unemployment rate was 5.0% in December 2007 when the recession commenced. Cycle high for recession is 10.1% in October 2009 and the cycle low for the expansion that ended in December 2007 is 4.4% in March 2007.

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Economics

Friday, October 08, 2010

U.S. Economy Has Failed to Recover, Fed Prepares to Pump the Economy / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince the US economy has failed to recover as widely predicted, pressure on the Federal Reserve to conjure a solution has increased. In fact, the Fed now faces the hardest choices in its history. It can either redouble its past efforts to re-inflate America's bubble economy (risking the destruction of the US dollar) or it can stop pumping and let the economy deflate to a self-sustaining level. Unfortunately, both choices guarantee severe economic pain - but only one offers the possibility of ultimate success.

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Economics

Friday, October 08, 2010

Fantastic Economic News, U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls Decline by 95,000 / Economics / US Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday we have fantastic news from the BLS that the economy shed 95,000 jobs, far weaker than the economists' consensus expectation of a mere 5,000 drop.

Moreover, part-time workers for economic reasons increased by a whopping 612,000 workers, much higher than an recent numbers and also higher than a year ago. The effect of rising part-time work is the effective unemployment rate shot up .4% to 17.1%

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