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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Thursday, February 17, 2011

Fed Upgrades U.S. GDP Growth Forecast, Remains Significantly Concerned About Unemployment / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe minutes of the January FOMC meeting show the Fed more optimistic about economic growth in 2011. The Fed raised the central tendency for real GDP growth in 2011 to 3.4% - 3.9% from the November forecast of 3.0% to 3.6% (see Table 1). The revisions to projections of economic growth in 2012 and 2013 were small compared with the revision of estimates for 2011.

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Economics

Thursday, February 17, 2011

Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Propaganda Report Attempts to Mask Stagflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of England latest quarterly inflation report continued the trend of pumping out economic propaganda masquerading as forecasts so as to better manage the British populations inflation expectations and prevent a wage price spiral from taking hold by continuing the mantra of temporary factors driving inflation as each month for the past year the Bank of England MPC has danced between differing temporary factors.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

Inflation Fools and Central-Bank Clowns / Economics / Inflation

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith interest rates impotent, more or less quantitative easing looks the only policy choice open...

YOU CAN'T BLAME the financial press for being so wrong, so often.

Every financial decision you might make today is now a speculation on what will happen to interest rates. So pretty much every story a financial journalist might write starts and ends with central-bank cant, too. Because outside the inaction of each monthly vote, central-bank policy is a mass of half-truths and bunk.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

America Poised for a Hyperinflationary Event? / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Michael_Pollaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is a long standing proposition of many, supported on both theoretical and historical grounds, that one of the surest roads to hyperinflation is one grounded in a government whose answer to every economic and social problem is to borrow and spend the problem away, supported by a central bank able, willing and ready to finance the effort. That support is of course to simply print the money through which to buy the debt so issued by the government – what is euphemistically called monetizing the debt – thereby exploding the supply of money and eventually trashing its value.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

The Politics of Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn arguing food inflation is not the Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) fault, Fed Chairman Bernanke points the finger at everyone but him. Just as with a lot of Bernanke’s policies, his argument may hold in an academic setting, but the real world is a bit more complicated.

Summarizing the greatest money printing experiment in monetary history, Bernanke proudly stipulates that the program has been “effective”, because:

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Economics

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

China Inflation: Getting Worse and Coming To A Wal-Mart Near You / Economics / Inflation

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn Tuesday Feb. 15, China reported its consumer prices (CPI) rose 4.9% year-over-year (yoy) in January, which came in less than expected. Economists were expecting 5.4% inflation, based on a Bloomberg survey.

However, after digesting the data, Asian markets closed mixed on that news, with China’s Shanghai Composite staying flat after a choppy trading session.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

U.S. Economy Flight 666, On a One Way Inflation Ticket To Zimbabwe Part2 / Economics / Inflation

By: D_Sherman_Okst

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePart 1 Here: In the fine book “I.O.U.S.A.” former Comptroller General David Walker said, ”[The] fourth and most serious of all is a leadership deficit.The material I reviewed underscores Walker’s observation.

I’m a huge Paul Ryan fan. I’m impressed with his handle on our budget. I give him a tremendous amount of credit for addressing our dismal fiscal situation head on. I commend him for making it the center of his work. This is something most politicians refuse to even mention, let alone address in public.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Mergers and Acquisitions and the Destruction of Wealth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe stock market has been on a tear and it's all about mergers and acquisitions (M&A).

Last year ended up being a blockbuster for global mergers and acquisitions, with the total number of deals and values both rising by over 20 percent for 2010, hitting $2.4 trillion. Private equity buyouts meanwhile rose 7.2 percent, marking the strongest year for buyouts since 2007. Activity in M&A more than doubled in Australia; the Asia-Pacific region saw M&A deal value reach its highest value on record; and M&A deals also jumped 37 percent in Europe.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

U.S. Fed Inflation Policy Means The Weak and the Slow Get Crushed / Economics / Inflation

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"We do not now have a problem.... Inflation made here in the U.S. is very, very low" - Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, February 10, 2011

"Inflation is a means by which the strong can more effectively exploit the weak.... [Inflation] introduces an element of deceit into our economic dealings.... [T]he increasing uncertainty in providing privately for the future pushes people who are seeking security toward the government." - Federal Reserve Governor Henry C. Wallich, Fordham University, Commencement Address, June 28, 1978

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Economics

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

UK Inflation CPI 4%, RPI 5.1%, Real 6.6%, Pressure Building on Wage Price Spiral / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK Inflation for January 2011 leapt to CPI 4% from 3.7%, leaving the Bank of England Governor, Mervyn King to press print on another letter full of worthless excuses as to why high Inflation is still temporary more than a year on. The facts are that the Bank of England via its policy of HIGH Inflation is destroying a lifetime of accumulated capital of savers, as interest earned on savings after tax will be lucky to be at HALF the official inflation rate, never mind the actual inflation rate that is nearer to 6.6%, all as part of the continuing programme for the transference of wealth from tax payers and savers onto the balance sheets of the bailed out banks that generate fictitious profits on the basis of which billions are paid out in bonuses.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

U.S. Economy Flight 666, On a One Way Inflation Ticket To Zimbabwe / Economics / Inflation

By: D_Sherman_Okst

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI’ve finally had the time to thoroughly study Bernanke’s entire Press Club speech, his appearance before Representative Paul Ryan’s House Budget Committee and bulk of the recently released 2005 FOMC minutes.   

The conclusion I have drawn from all this data is that the captain of our economy, Ben Bernanke, is either an economic imbecile or a financial terrorist.  Through evil intent, or sheer stupidity, the outcome remains unchanged.  The bottom-line: He has hijacked our economy flight and changed our destination.  Bernanke is about to crash Flight 666 and all 308 million of us sitting helplessly in the passenger cabin into Zimbabwe’s airport known as Hell’s Hyperinflation Field.   

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Economics

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Inflation Grand Theft USA – Prices Go Parabolic / Economics / Inflation

By: PhilStockWorld

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTwo percent!  
That’s how much the price of EVERYTHING has gone up IN AMERICA since Christmas Day, just 6 weeks ago.  This is according to the very reliable Billion Prices Project at MIT, which collects pricing data every day from online retailers using a software that scans the underlying code in public webpages and stores the relevant price information in the database.  The daily online index is an average of individual price changes across multiple categories and retailers that provides real-time information on major inflation trends.  

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Economics

Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Economic Outlook: Current Administration vs. Congressional Budget Office / Economics / Government Spending

By: Asha_Bangalore

The current administration and the Congressional Budget Office project a considerable reduction of the budget deficit as a percentage of GDP in 2012 and 2013 (see Chart 1). The current administration predicts the federal budget deficit to decline to 7.0% of GDP in 2012 from 10.9% in 2011 and further reduction to 4.6% is anticipated for 2013. The Congressional Budget Office's (CBO) predictions show the federal budget deficit also dropping to 7.0% in 2012 from 9.8% in 2011. The CBO expects the budget deficit to stand at 4.3% of GDP in 2013.

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Economics

Monday, February 14, 2011

Economists Lost in a Maze of Money Aggregates? / Economics / Money Supply

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the most important concepts in economic theory is the quantity of money. However, when going from theory to practical application, things get messy. In the real world, it's not obvious how to count up the amount of "money" in the economy at any given time.

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Economics

Monday, February 14, 2011

The Two Roads Out of Recession / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Shamus_Cooke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRecent events in Washington, D.C. should provoke fear and outrage in the average American worker. As the jobs recession staggers on, politicians and labor leaders alike seem bizarrely distanced from reality, unable to advance any ideas that remotely correspond to the basic demands of those tens of millions of unemployed, under-employed, or poorly paid workers.

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Economics

Sunday, February 13, 2011

Ten Reasons Why it is So Difficult to Find a Job in America Today / Economics / Unemployment

By: Pravda

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHave you been unemployed lately? If so, then you probably know how frustrating it is to try to find a job in the United States today. It now takes the average unemployed worker about 33 weeks to find a job. There are millions of Americans that have not been able to find a full-time job even after searching hard for an entire year. Some areas of the United States have been devastated so badly by the economic downturn that they are starting to resemble war zones. Unless you have been there, it is hard to even try to describe the extreme frustration that one feels when you are unable to pay the mortgage and feed your family. It can be absolutely soul-crushing.

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Economics

Saturday, February 12, 2011

Widening of U.S. Trade Deficit Partly Reflects Jump in Oil Imports / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

The trade deficit of the U.S. economy widened to $40.6 billion in December from $38.3 billion in the prior month.  Exports (+1.8%) and imports (+2.6%) of goods and services advanced in December.  Petroleum imports (+12.2% in real terms) made up a large part of imports in December. 

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Economics

Saturday, February 12, 2011

Evidence Supports Benign Near Term U.S. Inflation Trend / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInflation is not the headline story of 2011; albeit a few glaring monthly readings due to higher food and energy prices are possible.  On what grounds can we be sure of this claim?  First, the current readings of inflationary measures are below levels consistent with price stability.  The FOMC's preference is 2.0% or slightly below 2.0% inflation readings.  As shown in Chart 1, inflation measures have posted gains below 2.0% in recent monthly reports and projected growth of the economy in 2011 suggests a benign inflationary environment. 

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Economics

Friday, February 11, 2011

In the Midst of the Big Bang of 2008, Economic Collapse Has Already Occurred / Economics / Financial Crash

By: Mac_Slavo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the 1930’s Georges Lemaître presented the theory that our universe started with a Big Bang. For the better part of the 20th century, it was assumed that the Big Bang event took place in a matter of a few seconds and sent the necessary elements for everything from magnetism to stars to life flying throughout the universe.

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Economics

Friday, February 11, 2011

QE2 Sets Off Inflation Alarms / Economics / Inflation

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEver since he launched the second round of his bond-buying program (QE2), Ben Bernanke has been on a roll. The S&P has gained 10 percent and the economic data has improved dramatically. Manufacturing and retail have rebounded, consumer confidence has started to brighten, and personal consumption (PCE) is on the rise. Car sales, hotel occupancy and exports are all up, too. Even the banks seem to be more eager to lend than they were just a few months ago. Only housing is still in the doldrums and the Fed chairman probably has something up his sleeve for that, too.

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