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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Saturday, December 12, 2009

The Statistical Economic Recovery and Double Dip Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThoughts on the Statistical Recovery
Lies, Damn Lies, and Government Statistics
The Problem of Seasonal Adjustments
The Job Creation Engine
A Double-Dip Recession?
Dad Gets a Lively Lesson

We are clearly starting to get some better data points here and there. But as I pointed out this summer, it is going to be a recovery in the statistics and not in the things that count, such as income and employment. This week we look at the nascent recovery (which could be at 3% this quarter) and try to peer out into the future to see what it means. We look at how recoveries come about, and why I am concerned that we will see a double-dip recession. Plus, I learned some new tricks courtesy of my new granddaughter, to whom Tiffani gave birth this week1 There is a lot to cover, but it should be interesting.

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Barack Obama Ensures a Long Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Benjamin_Weingarten

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePolitical success, as reflected in the recent gubernatorial races appears ever-more staked on the state of the economy. Official unemployment recently measured 10 percent, though the more-honest gauge (U-6) shows the nation running unemployment at a Depression-like 17.2 percent.

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Are We Heading for a Gigantic Economic Monetary Deflationary Collapse? / Economics / Market Manipulation

By: Robert_Bradshaw

When a top French Bank warns the French people that a gigantic economic/monetary/deflationary collapse could be very close, thinking people must wake up and take notice.  This happened on or about Nov 19th in an article by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard from the London Telegraph.  I read this prediction with interest from the Society Generale Bank in France.  But the importance of this assertion is not only because this bank is near the top in thinking in the European Union, it is most assuredly a leading Rothschild controlled bank with much insider knowledge of what is coming down the pike. 

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Auto and Gasoline Sales Help Boost November Retail Growth / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: LiveCharts

Despite initial reports from many retailers that the start to the holiday season has been relatively sluggish, the Commerce Department reported Friday (December 11) morning that retail sales climbed by 1.3 per cent in November. This follows a 1.1 per cent boost in retail performance during October.

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Debt and the Blowout Federal Deficit, Economic Review of 2009 / Economics / US Debt

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn an effort to get out ahead of the rush of year-end summaries, commentaries, and reviews, we’re going to try something a little bit different this year and leave 20 days of 2009 on the table. The themes discussed at the outset of 2009 were all longer-term in nature anyway, and it is unlikely that anything major will happen to unsettle those themes during the last few days of the year. Incidentally, a buffalo nickel goes to the first person to email in if I happen to be wrong on that last assertion. So without further delay..

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Sovereign Debt Defaults the Next Shoe to Drop? / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernments the world over have spent the past year bailing out, backstopping, insuring, and stimulating their financial sectors and economies. Trillions of dollars, euros, yen, and pounds have been thrown around like Halloween candy. Officials have assured us there’s little risk to that strategy.

But we have warned consistently that the opposite is true. Our stance: If you borrow and spend too much, all you’re going to do is transform a Wall Street debt crisis into a Washington debt crisis.

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Economics

Friday, December 11, 2009

Thanks to the Fed We Live in a Crystal Meth Economy / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: David_Calderwood

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I see it, booms and busts are a natural part of human social behavior. Cycles appear throughout history and are part of the dynamism of humanity of which Butler Shaffer so eloquently writes. If this is so, then what role do central banks play in the modern world?

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Economics

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Bernanke Blamed, U.S. Economy Lost Revenues and Inflation /Deflation Fears / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the words of one of my favorite singer-song writers, Willie Nelson (another one of my favorites is Marisa Kasriel), I am on the road again. Forthwith are some thoughts that came to me as I listened to Willie on recent flights.

Did Bernanke Get Grilled for the Sins of Others?

Before hitting the "send" button on the hate email, let me tell you that Ben Bernanke is not an indispensable Fed chairman. I have no doubt that there are many people who could do a better job than he (but no one has called). Having said that, I was amused by some of the haranguing he was subjected to at his Senate confirmation hearing last week. Okay, now you can hit the "send" button.

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Economics

Thursday, December 10, 2009

The Power of The Theory of Money and Credit / Economics / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith the great bursting of the real-estate bubble in 2008, the federal government is reforming and expanding its regulatory oversight in hopes of legislating away booms and busts. Recent decades have featured a series of speculative manias followed by harrowing financial busts, with central banks applying the same tonic — a flood of monetary stimulus — to salve the nation's financial wounds.

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Economics

Thursday, December 10, 2009

European Monetary System Crisis, Debt Show Down in Athens / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGreek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou has the European Central Bank over a barrel and doesn't even know it. If he had a handle on the situation, he'd thumb his nose at the ECB's austerity measures, and demand a no-strings-attached loan package to help his country get through the current rough patch. Instead, he's carrying on like a faint-hearted schoolboy. 

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Economics

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Leave Free Markets to Themselves, Nothing Else Will Work / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Don_Cooper

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA market is the voluntary coming together of two groups of people: those that have something to sell and those that want to buy what is being sold at the price it is being offered. The former group is called producers and the latter consumers.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Larry Summers is Steering U.S. Economy Towards Structural Adjustment / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere's no fixed number of greenbacks in a vault at the Treasury which limit how much the federal government can spend. Since the US pays its debts in its own currency--it can print as many dollars as it pleases. Of course, if boosting the money supply triggers inflation, the Fed has to withdraw liquidity and raise interest rates. But that's not the problem at present. The problem is how to zap the economy back to life.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Socialist Debt Crisis Greece Puts Pressure on ECB For Bailout / Economics / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGreek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou has the European Commission over a barrel and doesn't even know it. Instead of dragging the EC over the coals--like he should --he's carrying on like a blubbering crybaby. "Steady on there, Georgie". Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson didn't go wobbly when he stormed up Capital Hill and demanded a $700 billion TARP bailout, did he? Well, then, at least learn from history.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

All Eyes Down for a UK Credit Debt Default / Economics / UK Debt

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnother small social pleasure done to death by the socialists...

WHAT BETTER WAY to mark New Labour's last budget in power than by granting a tax cut on bingo...?

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Economics

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

The Economic Curse of Good Government / Economics / Government Intervention

By: William_Anderson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs one who has made a career out of criticizing government and exposing the various predations of government, one would think I would be intelligent and wise enough not to expect that entity we know as "good government." In fact, given that I am quite familiar with the entire socialist calculation debate and have assigned numerous papers covering that subject to my MBA students, it should have dawned upon me by now that "good government" is an oxymoron at best and a delusional term at worst.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Aristophanes on Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Clifford_F_Thies

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt used to be that every economist worth his salt knew Gresham's Law (or, if he was Polish, Copernicus's Law): "bad money drives out good." Narrowly understood, this rule says that when the government requires people to accept different forms of money at an exchange rate fixed by law, the form of money that is overvalued (the "bad money") will circulate, while the form of money that is undervalued (the "good money") won't.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Debt Deleveraging Is a Necessary Consequence of Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: Chris_Galakoutis

A blinding affliction can be seen with the gold bugs.  Make reference to a strong dollar and falling gold, and you must be a supporter of the central banks, as well as the powerful families with cross-border tentacles that stand behind them.  In our case, nothing could be further from the truth.  We must put politics and other biases aside if we are to understand the big picture, in order to avoid, and not be ruined by, what’s around the corner. 

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Economics

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Have We Avoided the Economic Depression Many Feared? / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Mac_Slavo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePresident Obama spoke about the economy at the Brookings Institution.

“We acted to get lending flowing again, so businesses could get loans to buy equipment and ordinary Americans could get financing to buy homes and cars, to go to college, and to start or run businesses. We enacted measures to stem the tide of foreclosures in our housing market, helping responsible home owners stay in their homes and helping to stop the broader decline in home values which was eating away at what tends to be a family’s largest asset.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 09, 2009

Government Socialist Intervention and the Distortion of Capital / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frederic_Bastiat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn all times, but more especially of late years, attempts have been made to extend wealth by the extension of credit.

I believe it is no exaggeration to say, that since the revolution of February, the Parisian presses have issued more than 10,000 pamphlets, crying up this solution of the social problem.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 08, 2009

Productive Debt versus Unproductive Debt / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Douglas_French

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe credit crunch continues, with businesses large and small finding that their bankers remain exceedingly stingy in the wake of the 2008 financial debacle. "We need to see banks making more loans to their business customers," Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) Chairwoman Sheila Bair told reporters recently after the FDIC released figures showing that the amount of loans outstanding in the nation's banks fell $210.4 billion in the third quarter of 2008. That is the largest quarterly decline since the FDIC began tracking loans in 1984.

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