Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, April 02, 2011
U.S. March Employment Situation, Fed Remains on Track to Complete QE2 / Economics / Employment
By: Asha_Bangalore
March Employment Situation – Although Private Sector Payroll Growth is Impressive, Fed is on Track to Complete QE Civilian Unemployment Rate: 8.8% in March vs. 8.9% in February. Cycle high for recession is 10.1% in October 2009.
Payroll Employment: +216,000 in March vs. +194,000 in February. Private sector jobs increased 230,000 after a gain of 240,000 in February. Revisions for January and Februay resulted in a net gain of 7,000 jobs in the economy.
Saturday, April 02, 2011
How The Foreign Laundromat Trashed the U.S. Economy / Economics / US Economy
By: Andrew_Butter
I was looking at Vietnam recently. Apparently the streets are paved with gold and so I’m going over next week to check that out, but I’m getting more confused by the minute.
On one hand (supposedly) FDI is pouring into Vietnam, on the other hand, you read in the Financial Times that the Vietnamese are sending their gold jewellery to Switzerland to be melted down and turned into ingots to be stored in a vault (outside Vietnam). Or converted into a “hard” currency…although there again, there is a bit of a debate going on these days about where you might find one of those?
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Friday, April 01, 2011
What's a Job Good For? / Economics / Employment
By: Jeffrey_A_Tucker
Most people say that a job is good for making money. So, if you don't need money, what's the point? The fabled English aristocratic class of the late 19th and early 20th century apparently thought that way, if the caricatures painted by Jeeves and Wooster, Brideshead, and the like have any truth to them. Their main job was getting dressed and undressed. It seems like young Americans are thinking the same way.
Friday, April 01, 2011
China's Highway System Growth Paves the Way to a Stronger Economy / Economics / China Economy
By: Money_Morning
Kerri Shannon writes:
What some have called "the worst traffic jam in human history" happened on the Beijing-Tibet Highway in August 2010. It trapped some drivers for more than 20 days and stretched more than 60 miles (97 kilometers).
The mess was so severe that local residents turned into vendors and profited from selling water, noodles and nuts to stalled travelers.
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Thursday, March 31, 2011
Government Spending Is Bad Economics / Economics / Government Spending
By: J_M_Finegold_Catalan
The debate about whether or not government spending is a useful countercyclical tool has been revived by the continuing economic crisis. Today, the discussion has been politicized and deals almost exclusively with the size of government debt, focusing on the tax burden this debt represents for future generations and whether or not further debt will help stimulate the economy. Politically, the result has been a middle-of-the-road fiscal policy that has left no economist satisfied. Academically, the debate is generally split between free-market and Keynesian schools of thought, with each side arguing for a policy very different from those already implemented.
Thursday, March 31, 2011
What is the U.S. Employment Picture in Really Saying? / Economics / Employment
By: Mike_Stathis
Jobs Data - As in previous months, the private sector accounted for all the job gains in February, with an addition of 222,000 positions, up from a mere 68,000 job additions in January. This represented the largest gain since April 2010. Does this represent a sign of recovery?
Once you examine these job additions, you will see that the trend of low-wage, low/no-benefit, dead-end jobs remains firmly intact. [1]
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Wednesday, March 30, 2011
There Will be a Double Dip Economic Recession, the Tipping Point / Economics / Double Dip Recession
By: Richard_Hartley
The first part of this sorry tale was caused by greed and inflated money markets. This gave near full employment and unprecedented growth around the world.
The last two years has been caused by the markets realization that you cannot carry on and keep re-inflating the money markets as really there was no-one else left to lend to. People max'd out on credit cards, took equity withdrawals. A stupid scheme was enacted to allow people with no money to own homes backed by large mortgages giving to anyone that asked and to a lot that didn't but just signed on the dotted line. .
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Tuesday, March 29, 2011
The Inflation Knuckleball / Economics / Inflation
By: Michael_Pento
By its very definition, fiat money is something created out of thin air: the word "fiat" is Latin for "let it be done" (as in, by decree). But the convenience that such a currency system offers central bankers is paid at the expense of savers.
With nothing of real or lasting value on which to anchor, the value of fiat currencies can always blow away like ashes on a windy day.
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Tuesday, March 29, 2011
Economists Are Hopelessly Naive About International Trade / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Ian_Fletcher
The economics profession, or well over 90 percent of it according to polls, continues to support free trade. Above all, most economists remain stuck in a cheery “win-win” fantasy of how trade works and are unable to see the brutally adversarial dynamics of trade in the real world.
Monday, March 28, 2011
UK Interest Rate Forecast 2011, Paralysed Bank of England Still Fears Financial Armageddon / Economics / UK Interest Rates
By: NewsLetter
The Market Oracle NewsletterMar 8th, 2011 Issue #4 Vol. 5
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Monday, March 28, 2011
U.S. Economy In the Greater Economic Depression Confirmed by GDP Data / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Jas_Jain
On all forums and blogs I have always posted under my name, Jas Jain, but in early days of my comments in 1990s I would sign as Rabbi Jazzman (rabbi of morality of financial practices and their impact on the real economy and asset classes, e.g., the stock market and the housing market; with moral tone obvious in my use of language). Here is a quote from the period, July 1998:
Read full article... Read full article..."May be you are on to something here... What will happen...? The Greater Depression? ...The glory days of the US stock market may be over for good and in few decades the Chinese might assume the place of the supreme economic power in the world. Shalom, shalom. Rabbi Jazzman"
Sunday, March 27, 2011
Economic Recovery Statistics / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Pravda
Michael Snyder writes: Today there are two very different Americas. In one America, the stock market is soaring, huge bonuses are taken for granted, the good times are rolling and people are spending money as if they will be able to "live the dream" for the rest of their lives. In the other America, the one where most of the rest of us live, unemployment is rampant, a million families were kicked out of their homes last year and hordes of American families are drowning in debt. The gap between the rich and the poor is bigger today than it ever has been before. In fact, this article is not so much about "rich vs poor" as it is about "the rich vs the rest of us". Barack Obama and Ben Bernanke keep touting an "economic recovery", but the truth is that the only ones that seem to be benefiting from this recovery are those at the very top of the economic food chain.
Saturday, March 26, 2011
First they inflate, then there is a Boom, Then Price Inflation / Economics / Central Banks
By: Gary_North
You are on the back of a tiger. You had no say in the matter. You are part of the international economy, and central bankers run it.
First they inflate. Then there is a boom. Then there is price inflation. Then they stop inflating. Then there is a recession. To keep it from becoming a depression, they inflate. Year after year, decade after decade, generation after generation, this is what central bankers do.
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Saturday, March 26, 2011
U.S. Fourth Quarter Real GDP Economic Growth Upward Revision / Economics / US Economy
By: Asha_Bangalore
Real GDP of the economy grew at an annual rate of 3.1% in the fourth quarter of 2010, revised up from the prior estimate of a 2.8% increase. The U.S economy grew 2.9% in 2010 after a 2.6% decline in 2009. The outlook for 2011 is for a slightly stronger performance, with most of the growth representing self-sustained economic growth compared with artificial support that has maintained economic momentum in 2010 to a large extent.
Friday, March 25, 2011
Hidden U.S. Inflation, U.S. Consumers Adjust Spending Habits Amid Soaring Prices / Economics / Inflation
By: Money_Morning
Kerri Shannon writes:
U.S. consumers have watched food and fuel prices eat away at their household budgets, and now those price hikes are spreading to other products - with the worst yet to come.
New York Federal Reserve Bank President William Dudley recently got a taste of public frustration with higher prices. He spoke to a crowd in Queens, New York on March 11 to tackle a mountain of food inflation questions. Dudley told the audience that while some prices are rising, other products are cheaper - like the Apple Inc.'s (Nasdaq: AAPL) latest iPad.
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Thursday, March 24, 2011
U.S. Jobless Claims Maintain Downward Trend / Economics / Unemployment
By: Asha_Bangalore
Initial jobless claims fell 5,000 to 382,000 during the week ended March 19. Continuing claims, which lag initial jobless claims by one week, dropped 2,000 to 3.721 million.
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Thursday, March 24, 2011
Weimer Hyperinflation Angst and the United States Today / Economics / HyperInflation
By: Fred_Sheehan
When Money Dies: The Nightmare of the Weimer Hyperinflation, by Adam Fergusson, was published in 1975 and became a best-seller in 2010. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke's claim that "inflation expectations are contained" is refuted (once again) by this 35-year, dust-gathering incident, unless the public took a sudden interest in multiplying millions, billions, and trillions - a "delirium of milliards" - the phrase of soon-to-be-assassinated Weimer government minister Walter Rathanau.
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Thursday, March 24, 2011
Top 10 Keynesian Ways to Boost the Economy / Economics / Economic Recovery
By: Submissions
Jason Kaspar writes: Keynesian economists are propagandizing the media with a unified message; in one breath lightly touching on the human tragedy in Japan, while in the next anticipating with delight the economic recovery it will (supposedly) create. The natural disaster in Japan is tragic both on a human level and economically. Japan may, possibly, enjoy a GDP boost in six months or so as a result of some rebuilding, but the billions in present-day lost productivity will easily negate any future upside.
Thursday, March 24, 2011
US Growth Expectations Neglect Weak Consumer Sector / Economics / US Economy
By: ECR_Research
Consensus on US growth this year is around 3.5%, and many economists and analysts expect the same growth rate, or a bit higher, the years thereafter. But where will this expected growth come from?
This is however the bright side of the medallion. There is, unfortunately, another side, which makes it really questionable how the US could possible attain a growth rate of 3.5% or higher for the coming years. There are several points to make.
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Thursday, March 24, 2011
Rumours of America's Economic Death Are Exaggerated: Credit Crunch Was a Blip / Economics / US Economy
By: Andrew_Butter
A good sign of impending economic death is when people stop lending money to you.
What’s strange is that in some quarters conventional wisdom has it that America is on death’s door with hyper-inflation just around the corner as a punishment for all the BAD money printing.
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