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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Wednesday, November 05, 2014

Japanese Governments Revenge On Its People / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Raul_I_Meijer

I know I’ve written a lot about Japan lately, and that for some it’s been enough for a while, but still, what happens today under the no longer rising sun is going to have such repercussions worldwide that it would be foolish not to pay attention. Moreover, there’s something about what Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said this morning that both perfectly and painfully illustrates to what depths, economically as well as morally, the country has sunk.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 05, 2014

Japan's kaput?! / Economics / Japan Economy

By: Axel_Merk

Japan’s economy is down but not yet out. The world’s third largest economy won’t go quietly. Both these statements are merely my opinion, but if you believe there’s a risk that I’m right, you may want to pay attention to what the implications may be.

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Economics

Tuesday, November 04, 2014

The Costs of Ebola on Guinea and Sierra Leone / Economics / Ebola

By: Steve_H_Hanke

For a clear snapshot of a country's economic performance, a look at my misery index is particularly edifying. The misery index is simply the sum of the inflation rate, unemployment rate and bank lending rate, minus per capita GDP growth.

The epicenter of the Ebola crisis is Liberia. My Oct. 17 blog post reported on the level of misery in and prospects for Liberia.

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Economics

Sunday, November 02, 2014

Hyperinflation - When Money Dies: Germany and Paper Money After 1910 / Economics / HyperInflation

By: MISES

Marcia Christoff-Kurapovna writes: The story of the destruction of the German mark during the hyper-inflation of Weimar Germany from 1919 to its horrific peak in November 1923 is usually dismissed as a bizarre anomaly in the economic history of the twentieth century. But no episode better illustrates the dire consequences of unsound money or makes a more devastating, real-life case against fiat-currency: where there is no restraint, monetary death will follow.

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Economics

Saturday, November 01, 2014

The Most Important U.S. Economic Charts You'll See / Economics / US Economy

By: DailyWealth

David Eifrig writes: The market is crashing... Ebola is running rampant... Look out for cloaked and bearded ISIS warriors.

You can always find a lot of fear-mongering in the news and in financial markets. Right now, it appears to be a particularly worrisome time.

Most of it is nonsense...

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Economics

Saturday, November 01, 2014

US Now Importing the World's Deflation / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Rubino

With US QE about to end, the rest of the world faced the prospect of another "taper tantrum" financial crisis, one that this time around could suck the world into a deflationary vortex. So it should come as no surprise that the end of QE was countered with a series of offsetting treats for the global financial markets:

• The US Fed promised to keep interest rates low for a really long time.

• The European Central Bank announced that in November it would start buying asset backed bonds, in effect beginning an open-ended, potentially huge debt monetization program of its own.

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Economics

Friday, October 31, 2014

The Deflation Boogeyman / Economics / Deflation

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

Here we go again.  A plunge in oil prices has spurred a bevy of articles from the bought-and-paid-for media, as well as quasi-governmental agencies, alerting us of pending disaster if deflation were allowed to make an entrance, however briefly. Never mind that there is no theoretical or empirical evidence to justify this fear of deflation. (explanation here) According to the St. Louis Fed:

“While the idea of lower prices may sound attractive, deflation is a real concern for several reasons. Deflation discourages spending and investment because consumers, expecting prices to fall further, delay purchases, preferring instead to save and wait for even lower prices. Decreased spending, in turn, lowers company sales and profits, which eventually increases unemployment.”

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Economics

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

As the Eurozone Economy Stalls, China Cuts the Red Tape / Economics / China Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

Forty-four percent. That's the alarming unemployment rate for those aged 15 to 25 in Italy, where I traveled recently to meet with other global chief executives and business leaders.

The reason for Italy's high youth unemployment? Tortuous red tape, high taxation and thuggish unions. Many of the CEOs at the event I attended noted that Italy is mired in unionization. This has created a restrictive jobs market that crowds out well-educated, aspirational young people, many of whom are forced to flee their homes and seek work elsewhere.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Bulgaria: Liquidate KTB, Now / Economics / Eastern Europe

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The long-awaited audit of the Corporate Commercial Bank’s (KTB’s) assets has been released by the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB). In its wake, a debate has arisen about the future of the KTB: Should it be recapitalized? And if KTB is recapitalized, should the Bulgarian or the European authorities be responsible? However, it is clear from the results of the audit that, once the obscurity of the technocratic arguments is stripped away, there can be no debate. KTB should be liquidated as soon as possible, and whatever proceeds can be obtained in liquidation should be used to reimburse guarantees to depositors paid from the Bulgarian Deposit Insurance Fund (BDIF).

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Economics

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

U.S. Economic Snapshot - Strong Dollar Eating into corporate Profits / Economics / US Economy

By: Gary_Tanashian

Our view has been that a stronger US dollar would eventually start to eat away at corporate results, especially in the manufacturing sector and at US based companies with a global customer base. The decline in revenues thus far is something to be watched because where revenues go, earnings eventually follow.

[edit: the segment previous to this one reviewed a contrast between strong earnings and sagging revenues with companies that have reported earnings thus far]

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Economics

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Functional Economics - Getting Your House in Order / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Old Habits Reappear
Fighting the Fear of Fear
Growing Conspiracy
Myself Is after Me
Frayed Ends of Sanity
Hear Them Calling
Frayed Ends of Sanity
Hear Them Calling
Hear Them Calling Me
- Frayed Ends of Sanity, Metallica

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Economics

Sunday, October 26, 2014

Why Money Doesn’t Measure Value / Economics / Fiat Currency

By: Robert_Murphy

Anyone who knows him personally would attest that David Gordon is a troublemaker. He lived up to this label with a recent review of the new book by Steve Forbes and Elizabeth Ames. Gordon took them to task for referring to money as a measure of value, analogous to a ruler or clock; Gordon cited the authority of Ludwig von Mises while rejecting such a view. In a previous post here at Mises Canada, I then defended Gordon from the reply of John Tamny. Yet now I see that economist Marc Miles has jumped in the fray, also thinking that Gordon is ignorant of basic economics.

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Economics

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Japanese Style Deflation Coming? Where? Fed Falling Behind the Curve? Which Way? / Economics / Deflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

There's some interesting discussion points in the UK-based Absolute Return Partners October 2014 Letter, by Niels C. Jensen, most of which I agree with, others not.

Japan-Style Deflation in Our Backyard?

It is no secret that we have been long-standing believers in deflation being a more probable outcome of the 2008-09 crisis than high inflation. What has changed over the past six months is that the world has begun to move in different directions. Whereas rising unit labour costs in the U.S. make outright deflation in that country quite unlikely, the same cannot be said of the Eurozone.

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Economics

Thursday, October 23, 2014

U.S. Economy Faltering Momentum, Debt and Asset Bubbles / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

I featured the thinking of Dr. Lacy Hunt on the velocity of money and its relationship to developed-world overindebtedness and the potential for deflation in this week’s Thoughts from the Frontline, and I thought you’d like to peruse Lacy’s entire recent piece on the subject.

Lacy takes the US, Europe, and Japan one by one, examining the velocity of money (V) in each economy and bolstering the principle, first proposed by Irving Fisher in 1933, that V is critically influenced by the productivity of debt. Then, turning to the equation of exchange (M*V=Nominal GDP, where M is money supply), he demonstrates that we shouldn’t be the least bit surprised by sluggish global growth and had better be on the lookout for global deflation.

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Economics

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

The Last Days Of The Economic Growth Story / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Raul_I_Meijer

I am thinking about the similarities between a financial crisis and for instance a family crisis, the death of a loved one or close friend, a divorce, or a personal bankruptcy.

And I wonder why in the case of our recent (aka current) financial crisis, we allow nothing to enter our communications, and our train of thought, but the idea of recovery and a return to growth. Has everyone always reacted that way after earlier financial crises – history is full of them -, or is something else going on?

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