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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, March 02, 2015

The CPI Lag in Disguise / Economics / Inflation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Here’s another reader’s original and inspired perspective on the short term effects of consumer price inflation and how it differs from the inflation in speculative finance. This latter type of inflation will ultimately break the system and the currency.

Reader Dan pointed out:

“Regardless of the fluctuations in paper currency values, (which are basically measured against the value of gold), precious metals tend to retain their value in the long run as determined by their calculated exchange rates for goods and services.

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Economics

Friday, February 27, 2015

Why Expectations for Future Global Business Activity are Plunging / Economics / Global Economy

By: EWI

Enjoy an excerpt from "The State of the Global Markets 2015 Edition," a comprehensive report by Elliott Wave International

Editor's note: This article is excerpted from "The State of the Global Markets 2015 Edition," a comprehensive report by Elliott Wave International, the world's largest independent market-forecasting firm (data through December 2014). You can download the full, 53-page report here -- 100% free.

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Economics

Thursday, February 26, 2015

The Fed Waited Too Long: Here Comes Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: EconMatters

CPI Core Shows Inflation
The drop in energy prices, had the knee jerk reaction that we were in a deflationary spiral, again markets get many things wrong on first blush. The drop in energy prices is inflationary in the overall economy, and today`s CPI report showed what a sophisticated analysis would forecast regarding inflation and the role that low energy prices play in the overall inflation equation. We are going to have a transfer from the food and energy components which rely heavily on energy costs into the core inflation reading as consumers have more money in their pockets for true discretionary spending, and all these components` prices are going to rise in the CPI Inflation Index. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Thursday, February 26, 2015

Ukraine Hyperinflation as Currency Plunges 44% in One Week! / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Mike_Shedlock

... Actual Black Market Rates; Poroshenko Gives 'Ultimatum' to Central Bank to Fix Exchange Rate

I hear various reports of what the hryvnia actually trades for on the black market in Ukraine. I believe the reports, but they come in piece-mail.

Today, I have an actual black market link to share thanks to reader Oleg from Crimea.

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Economics

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

From London to China - Where is Today's Skyscraper Curse? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Mark_Thornton

Super tall buildings, or skyscrapers, are being built at an astonishing rate. Ninety-seven buildings that exceed 200 meters (656 feet) high were constructed in 2014, setting a new record. The previous record was eighty-one buildings completed in 2011. The total number of skyscrapers in existence now is 935, a whopping 350 percent increase since the year 2000.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

U.S. Real Estate Economy Too Many Houses, Not Enough Jobs / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Rubino

Today’s existing home sales report was down another 4.9% to an annual rate of 4.82 million units, the lowest in nearly a year. And this, remember, is in the sixth year of a recovery with reported unemployment below 6% and the Fed preparing to raise interest rates to head off incipient overheating.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

The Great Recession Redux / Economics / Great Recession

By: Michael_Pento

We are fast approaching the time when it will become obvious to all that mortally-wounded economies cannot be resuscitated by a massive increase in credit from central banks. Nations that suffer from tremendous capital imbalances, debt capacities and asset bubbles cannot be healed by printing money. Quantitative easing and zero percent interest rates have the ability to provide GDP growth that is merely illusory and ephemeral. This is because it can temporarily levitate equity, real estate and bond prices, which causes an artificial boom in employment and consumption. But the "benefits" of making the cost of money free has its limits, and it also comes with dire consequences.

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Economics

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Kazakhstan holding hands with Russia, Braces up for Economic Crisis / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Pravda

The collapse of oil prices that has already eaten much of the income of both Russian and American corporations has reached Kazakhstan. The economic crisis is looming over another member of the Customs Union. Is there a threat to the Customs Union during the period of the economic hardship? What does the Kazakh administration do to avoid the crisis?

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Economics

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Inflation is Dead, Long Live Inflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Submissions

Nicholas Migiliaccio writes: This is a composite index composed of securities whose movements tend to anticipate the subsequent commencing and movement of Inflation and Deflation.

In this illustration, the manifestation of Deflation, is subtracted from the manifestation of Inflation, and the remainder is displayed graphically.

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Economics

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Why the U.S. Workforce Still Shrinks as Job Growth Rises / Economics / Employment

By: EWI

A significant hint of economic softening is the slight decline in average hourly earnings in December. It came despite "a healthy 252,000 increase in jobs. Economists are struggling to explain the phenomenon," says the Associated Press. "I can't find a plausible empirical or theoretical explanation for why hourly wages would drop when for nine months we've been adding jobs at a robust pace," says a perplexed economist.

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Economics

Saturday, February 21, 2015

What Uber Could Teach the American Economy / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

When I travel around the country, one of the questions that comes up often in conversation is, where will the jobs of the future come from? I have a stock answer that I glibly offer:

In 1980, the Japanese were beating our brains out. Inflation was well into the double digits, as was unemployment. Finding a job was hard (I know), as one industry after another was being reconfigured and jobs seemed to be disappearing left and right. The answer to the question “Where will the jobs come from?” back then was “I don’t know, but they will.”

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Economics

Friday, February 20, 2015

South Korea’s Keynesian Experiment Goes Global / Economics / South Korea

By: MISES

Ryan W. McMaken writes: Those of us who have reached a certain age remember the late 80s and early 90s when we were told that the Japanese were taking over the world. We bought their cars. We played their video games. We used their technology for pretty much everything. The Japanese were destined for world domination, we were told. They were better team players. They put more emphasis on the group than on the individual. They worked harder. In 1992, a high-ranking Japanese politician, Yoshio Sakurauchi, declared that Americans are “too lazy” to compete with Japanese workers, and that a third of American workers “cannot even read.” Michael Crichton’s 1992 novel Rising Sun (and the 1993 movie adaptation) fueled these controversies further in the minds of many Americans.

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Economics

Friday, February 20, 2015

Employment Does Not Drive Economic Growth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

For the head of the Federal Reserve Board Janet Yellen — and most economists — the key to economic growth is a strengthening in the labor market. The strength of the labor market is the key behind the strength of the economy. Or so it is held. If this is the case then it is valid to conclude that changes in unemployment are an important causative factor of real economic growth.

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Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2015

Exploring Water Scarcity in Mexico / Economics / Water Sector

By: STRATFOR

Editor's Note: This is the eighth installment of an occasional series on water scarcity issues around the world that Stratfor will be building upon periodically.

Much like its northern neighbor, Mexico is not water scarce when viewed as a whole. But unequal water distribution has led to significant water stress in several parts of the country. Supply has been further strained by poor infrastructure, pollution and overuse — partly attributable to inefficient management and a growing population. Still, Mexico is positioned to experience significant economic growth because of its proximity to the United States and the likely expansion of its manufacturing sector as the country's population increases.

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Economics

Thursday, February 19, 2015

UK Unemployment Plunge Conservative Election Boost / Economics / Unemployment

By: Nadeem_Walayat

UK unemployment falls to its lowest level for 6 years as statistics for the 3 months to December 2014 register a drop of 97,000 claimants to 1.86 million, standing at 5.7% of the workforce, and down nearly 1/2 million on a year ago that illustrates a continuing strong trend in the reduction of domestic unemployment that is set against approx 700,000 jobs created. The difference being that these jobs have gone to migrant workers from firstly Eastern Europe and then the bankrupting PIIGS nations with Spain, Portugal and Greece that have lost many of their brightest to the likes of Britain's NHS, so if your puzzled by the origins of your accented NHS consultant then you may find that they are probably Greek.

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