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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Greenspan the Root Cause of this Economic Depression / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Mike_Shedlock

Bernanke, Geithner, and others have stated the biggest mistake in this depression was the failure to rescue Lehman. I have long disagreed, instead declaring the Bankruptcy of Lehman was one of the few things the Fed got right, even if by accident.

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Decade of No Income Gains for Wage Earners / Economics / Employment

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the first time since the great depression (and possibly even then), US wage earners suffered through A Decade With No Income Gains.

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

1929 Great Crash, Depression, Then and Now Lessons From History / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Hans_F_Sennholz

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarly 1955 finds the American public swamped by forecasts of prosperity and boom. Economic advisers to governments, corporations, universities, labor unions and other groups seem to have resolved in unison to assure the people that a depression like that of the 1930s has been banned forever from the American scene. "Americans need not fear a depression," they say. "Our government will carefully watch our economy and interfere when the need arises."

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Fiat Money a Tool for War to Kill Americans / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA few years ago on these pages, I harshly criticized an article urging New Yorkers to "eat local," and went so far as to dub the young lady's column, "The worst economics article ever." I am here to report that her record has been smashed. Floyd Norris's recent New York Times article on the greenback is hands down the worst economics article I have ever read. Not only is it jam-packed full of false history, but it uses the falsehoods to justify monstrous crimes, both in the past and present.

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Deflation, Falling Velocity of Money Ensures Printing Presses Will Keep Running / Economics / Deflation

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleElements of Deflation, Part 2
The Velocity Factor
Y=MV
Sir, I Have Not Yet Begun to Print
There Are No Good Choices

Just as water is formed by the basic elements hydrogen and oxygen, deflation has its own fundamental components. Last week we started exploring those elements, and this week we continue. I feel that the most fundamental of decisions we face in building investment portfolios is correctly deciding whether we are faced with inflation or deflation in our future. (And I tell you later on when to worry about inflation.) Most investments behave quite differently depending on whether we are in a deflationary or inflationary environment. Get this answer wrong and it could rise up to bite you.

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Fight Deflation by Giving Workers a Pay Rise / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe slight rebound in housing looks a lot different when one considers how much the Fed is meddling in the market. Fed chair Ben Bernanke has purchased $240 billion in US Treasuries to keep long-term interest rates artificially low while--at the same time--buying $740 billion in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities (MBS) to provide the financing for new home buyers. It's the double-whammy; and that's not all. Bernanke plans to continue buying agency MBS (monetization) until he reaches $1.45 trillion, which will make Uncle Sam the biggest player in the housing market by far. How's that for central planning?

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Economics

Saturday, September 12, 2009

The Economy Will Not Recover Until Trust is Restored / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Washingtons_Blog

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA 2005 letter in premier scientific journal Nature reviews the research on trust and economics:

Trust ... plays a key role in economic exchange and politics. In the absence of trust among trading partners, market transactions break down. In the absence of trust in a country's institutions and leaders, political legitimacy breaks down. Much recent evidence indicates that trust contributes to economic, political and social success.

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Economics

Friday, September 11, 2009

Economic Fundementals Suggest This Fall and Winter Could Get Ugly / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: ArbitraryVote

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince March of this year, we have seen growing consensus and excitement from the mainstream media and government about an economic recovery underway. Scattered economic indicators are released and spun in a positive light when they are proportionally minuscule improvements compared to the declines already experienced for each given indicator. They typically use this sugarcoated data and ignore reality to say “the worst is behind us, yet perhaps we’ll still see a 10-15% correction in the markets, and growth might be slow for quite awhile”. In under six months from the low, the markets have rallied over 45%. Yet this type of market move up hasn’t been seen since the lead-up to the crash of October, 1987.

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Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Government Run Economy, A New Era of Opportunity / Economics / Government Intervention

By: Kieran_Osborne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCould it be that the government is now in the driver's seat of the economy, having replaced the private sector? We certainly don’t believe it is the engine yet, but increasingly it has moved from being the backseat driver directing instructions intermittently, to taking over the steering wheel.

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Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Widening U.S. Trade Deficit Signals Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: The U.S. trade deficit expanded at its fastest pace in more than ten years in July, accelerated by rising oil prices and increased demand for auto parts and industrial supplies.

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Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

G-20 Governments Inflate the Global Economy to Economic Prosperity / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWho says central bankers can’t inflate an economy to prosperity?  To head-off the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, the “Group-of-20” central banks have slashed interest rates to record lows, while politicians have funneled trillions into the coffers of the most powerful Oligarchic banks. So far, the cost of mopping up after the world financial crisis is a staggering $12-trillion, or equivalent to around a fifth of the world’s annual economic output.

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Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Wave of Unemployment in the U.S. What to Expect and What to Do- Part2 / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Washingtons_Blog

Continued from Part 1 here
Decline in Manufacturing

As everyone knows, the manufacturing has shrunk in the United States and the service sector has grown. Even in a manufacturing center such as Detroit, manufacturing jobs have been declining for decades: Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Wave of Unemployment in the U.S. What to Expect and What to Do / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Washingtons_Blog

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIndividuals who look for work but can't find it are miserable.[1]

On the national level, high unemployment is both cause and effect concerning other problems with the economy. As we'll see below, high unemployment results from a weak economy and - in turn - weakens the economy.

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Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

A Tale of Two Inflations / Economics / Inflation

By: Tim_Iacono

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor some time now, the disparity between price increases for imported goods and price increases for domestic goods and services has been of great interest to me and, after working through all of the applicable Labor Department data on this subject, it quickly becomes clear that there is an interesting story to tell here about two very different types of U.S. inflation in recent years - domestic inflation and imported inflation.

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Economics

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Yet Another Jobless Economic Recovery / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Michael_Pento

It looks like this will be the third jobless recovery in a row. Coming out of the last two recessions we had what has become to be known as a jobless recovery. Job growth usually surges coming out of a recession as companies rush to bring on new employees to rebuild inventories that were depleted in the downturn.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 09, 2009

The Great Fakeroo Economic Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is something affected, something not believable, something agitpropish, about all the cheers for the glorious economic recovery we are experiencing. Some of its biggest boosters don't even quite believe it.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 09, 2009

How To Create More Jobs America / Economics / Employment

By: Steve_Selengut

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy recent survey produced a variety of ideas, but most of them had these common elements: replace the Internal Revenue Code with a simpler model, encourage businesses to increase employment, and insist upon tort reform everywhere.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 09, 2009

Depression Debate - Is this an Economic Depression? / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn 1929 Versus 2007: Employment Change Barry Ritholtz posted a chart of unemployment with a comment: "This chart makes it pretty clear that the current recession is no Depression"

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Economics

Tuesday, September 08, 2009

Job Losses Slow but the U.S. Economy Follows Jobless Recovery Script / Economics / Employment

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes: The pace of U.S. job losses slowed in August, but the country will likely be saddled with a high unemployment rate throughout all of 2010, analysts say.

In short, even though the economy has improved, the odds of a "jobless recovery" continue to grow.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 08, 2009

When Keynesian Salvation Fails, Horrific Stimulus Trouble / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Jack_D_Douglas

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn this Labor Day I got up before dawn, turned on CNBC and watched an hour long, free-wheeling discussion moderated by Maria Bartoromo among Jack Welch [GE CEO for decades], Fink [CEO and Chm. of Blackrock], Pandit [CEO of Citigroup] and about seven other major people at the top of U.S. Finance and Big Corps. They all agree we face many years of grim financial and economic and probably political developments.

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