Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, December 03, 2008
What's so Paradoxical about Thrift? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
The term "paradox of thrift" is being bandied about these days. This refers to the notion that if one person saves, this is good for economic activity but if we all decide to save, this is bad for economic activity. Firstly, what do we mean by "saving"? For the sake of argument, let's define saving as spending on physical goods and services less than one's income. If one spends less than his income, what happens to the "saved" part? Does it get buried in the back yard in the form of coin and currency? Perhaps. But there are other alternatives.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Deflation, Nowhere to Hide for Investors / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Dr_William_R_Swagell
“I've been in the market 50 years...(back in 1974) there were 40 people in the (London) office...I had to take it to half a dozen...there was a very severe downturn in equity markets but credit markets were still working. That's what is different this time. There's nowhere to hide .”
Terry Campbell, senior chairman Goldman Sachs JB Were. (by Ingrid Mansell, Australian Financial Review 21 Nov. 2008).
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Tuesday, December 02, 2008
The Current Global Financial & Economic Crisis / Economics / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Dudley_Baker
Due to my unique service, I have numerous sophisticated and savvy investors among my subscribers. Some have become friends and supporters of my work.
Recently, Arnold Bock, a Canadian living in Mendoza, Argentina and Lorimer Wilson of Toronto, Canada, have agreed to become part of my editorial staff at Precious Metals Warrants and will be providing content from time to time.
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Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Economic Restructuring, Recessions and Politics / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Hans_Wagner
Recessions impose economic discipline and punish everyone, including those that have taken advantage of the system. Companies seeking to survive look for ways to restructure their operations, with many going out of business or using Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings to help them break their bad habits. Politicians, ever mindful of their reelection, tend to use the public coffers to help mitigate the impact on key constituencies. This is where we are today. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Expect the Worst Recession Since WWII / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: John_Mauldin
This week we look at a short but excellent summary of the state of the current economic crisis. I always enjoy reading David Rosenberg, the North American economist of Merrill Lynch. He has a no-nonsense style that is refreshing from most mainstream economists. The reality is that things continue to deteriorate. Today's stock market action shows that we are not of the bear market woods just yet. Rosenberg gives us a few reasons why. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Destruction of Capital at an Ever Faster Rate, Workers Pay the Price / Economics / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Professor_Emeritus
Thou shalt not crucify labor on this cross of paper money, a message to American Labor Leaders
The “crime of 1873” - My title is a paraphrase of the 1896 battle-cry of William Jennings Bryan during his presidential bid. He was talking about ‘crucifying mankind on a cross of gold'. Bryan was protesting against the unconstitutional closing of the U.S. Mint to silver. Congress inadvertently suspended the unlimited coinage of the standard silver dollar, which it had no authority to do under the Constitution. Bryan called it “the crime of 1873”.
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Tuesday, December 02, 2008
The Neo-Alchemy of the Federal Reserve / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
As the printing presses for the bailouts run at full speed, those in power are no longer even pretending that the new giveaways will fix our problems. Now that we are used to rewarding failure with taxpayer-funded bailouts, we are being told that this is "just a start," more funds will inevitably be needed for more industries, and that things would be much worse had we done nothing. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 01, 2008
Bailouts Now Expanding to Consumers / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Peter_Schiff
Keeping track of the ever mutating bailout debate is becoming increasingly difficult. With the Federal money spigots now thrown wide open, and with no one of influence advising restraint, the only debate is where to direct the torrent. During the past week, the talk began with Detroit and Citigroup, but by Friday had shifted to a massive "stimulus package" to bail out consumers. The early buzz includes some very large figures. But first, a bit of a recap:Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 30, 2008
Inflate or Die Economic Policy to Drive Gold and Commodities Higher / Economics / Global Economy
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Richard Russell (Dow Theory Letters): “Inflate or die, which one will it be?” “Suddenly, the whole investment world believes in deflation. The TIPS (inflation adjusted government bonds) have collapsed, commodities have crashed, gold goes nowhere, bonds remain near their highs, the dollar remains strong.
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Sunday, November 30, 2008
U.S. Fed Fighting Deflationary Credit Contraction / Economics / Deflation
By: Mick_Phoenix
Welcome to the Weekly report. There is much talk these days about the inflationary bias of the US Federal Reserve, the rationale being all that money being pumped into banks, brokers (RIP), insurance, car makers and so on (monetary inflation) will eventually flood into the economy and cause prices to rise as too much cash seeks too little supply of goods and services (price inflation). Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 30, 2008
Bernankes Money Printing Helicopters are Here! / Economics / Money Supply
By: Mike_Hewitt
The US Federal Reserve is increasing the monetary base at an unprecedented rate in response to the present deflationary asset crunch, following the longest running inflationary boom in the country's history. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 30, 2008
The Hyperinflationary Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Eric_deCarbonnel
Last June, Stephen Lendman published an article covering Walter "John" Williams's views on Future US Hyperinflation . These views are more relevant than ever today. (emphasis mine)
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Saturday, November 29, 2008
Economic Depression in 2009? / Economics / Economic Depression
By: Clif_Droke
After suffering through the biggest stock market correction since the 1930s, many are wondering if the market – that great discounting mechanism – foresees depression in 2009. The thinking behind this interpretation of the 45% correction is that the stock market envisions a collapse in GDP and the biggest downturn in consumer spending of the current generation. Could the bear market of 2008 in fact be warning us of economic gloom next year? Is the U.S. destined to start the path, in the words of one widely followed observer, to becoming a Third World country in 2009? Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 28, 2008
Retail Sales to Suffer in 2009 as U.S. Consumers Cut Spending / Economics / US Economy
By: Money_Morning
Jennifer Yousfi writes: Retail experts are predicting one of the most dismal holiday shopping seasons in decades this year – a crucial stretch that will set the stage for poor retail sales throughout 2009. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 28, 2008
Bankrupt Britain Trending Towards Hyper-Inflation? / Economics / UK Economy
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The mainstream media is increasingly full of stories of either Britain going bankrupt or the coming deflation associated with the recession. Whilst both are now obvious given the economic data and government actions however what is missing from the headlines is that under the weight of the exploding public sector debt mountain, deflation will fast turn towards hyper-inflation as the government literally prints money in ever more panic measures aimed at turning the economy around. Many of the readers of my articles over the last year at Market Oracle will have seen this trend unfold as sustainable amounts of borrowing exploded into unsustainable liabilities due to the collapse of the bankrupt banks. Therefore this article seeks to analyse how Britain has come to towards an increased risk of bankruptcy and what action can be taken to avoid a currency collapse that is the consequences of state bankruptcy.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 28, 2008
China Panic Interest Rate Cut as Job Losses Soar / Economics / China Economy
By: Mike_Shedlock
The Telegraph is reporting China slashes interest rates as panic spreads . Factory workers surround a damaged police car during a protest outside Kai Da toy factory in Dongguan, China. Photo: REUTERS The People's Bank of China cut interest rates by more than 1pc point as the economy crumbles and millions of jobs are predicted to go ahead of Christmas.
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Friday, November 28, 2008
Bernanke's Deflationary Tactics and The Risk of Collateral Damage / Economics / Deflation
By: Brady_Willett
After General Bernanke Destroys The Deflationary Threat -
“…we will not stand down until we have achieved our goals of repairing and reforming our financial system, and thereby restoring prosperity to our economy.” Ben Bernanke. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
How John Lee Would Clean Up the Financial Mess and Put $800 billion to Work (Part I) / Economics / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: John_Lee
The Fed and US Treasury announced today a further plan to buy up to $800 billion of mortgage backed securities. This is in addition to the $700 billion financial bail-out package announced in September. In just past 3 months, over $1.5 trillion has been committed to help home owners and solve financial crisis.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
Failed Fiat Monetary System Heading for Rampant Inflation / Economics / Inflation
By: Clive_Maund
Paulson's favorite song: "I wish it could be Christmas every day" - well it can be thanks to the Fiat money system...
So the trough is about to be refilled, this time with even more feed - $800 billion to be precise. Thanks to the Fiat money system this extra liquidity can simply be created out of thin air, all it takes is a few keystrokes. The cost could be passed on to the taxpayer via higher taxes, but they might balk at this so it's better to stealthily get them to pay for it by diluting the purchasing power of their money.
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Wednesday, November 26, 2008
Keynes, Gold and Jubilee 1935 / Economics / UK Economy
By: Adrian_Ash
"With John Maynard Keynes feted by governments once more, would you dare to guess how desperate things must become before a true revolution in policy becomes possible...?
THE SUN SHONE BRIGHTLY on London for the silver jubilee of King George V as if to spite him. For it rarely smiled on his reign.
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