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Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, October 02, 2011

U.S. Consumer Spending in August Puts Q3 Change at Tepid Mark / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Real consumer spending held steady in August inclusive of a 0.1% increase in spending of durable goods and services and a 0.4% drop in purchases of services. Chairman Bernanke’s concern about the decelerating trend of consumer spending is justified. Real consumer spending grew only 1.77% from a year ago and real disposable income also shows a loss of momentum (see Chart 4). The July-August consumer spending numbers point a tepid increase in consumer spending in the third quarter, roughly 1.5%. This is slightly higher than the 0.7% increase in the second quarter but it is not a barnburner by any means.

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Economics

Sunday, October 02, 2011

Infrastructure Spending – What’s Not to Like? / Economics / Infrastructure

By: Asha_Bangalore

The American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) published a study last month pointing out the cost of failure to address the infrastructure needs of the nation. The study concludes that failing to invest in America’s roads, bridges, and transportation system would cost the nation $3.1 trillion in lost GDP, 877,000 in lost jobs, and a significant reduction in productivity by 2020. The graphic below is a summary of the impact of the failure to address the nation’s surface transportation infrastructure.

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Economics

Sunday, October 02, 2011

The Economic Recession As Forecasted By The Consumer / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Tony_Pallotta

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“A vocabulary of truth and simplicity will be of service throughout your life.” — Winston Churchill

I prefer to keep things as simple as possible. Take for example the $14 trillion US economy. The most basic of tools, a survey has proven to be an excellent indicator of what otherwise could be a very complex analysis, forecasting economic growth.

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Economics

Saturday, October 01, 2011

Real Pro-growth Tax Incentives to Save America / Economics / US Economy

By: Barry_Elias

There is a better way to optimize our scarce resources.

Six weeks ago, the following information and graphic of mine were published by Moneynews regarding government expenditures as a percentage of GDP.

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Economics

Saturday, October 01, 2011

The Economy’s Real Problems! / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome of this week’s economic reports provided at least small sparkles in the dark shadows that have dominated economic reports so far this year.

On Thursday, the Commerce Department reported the economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.3% in second quarter, a bit better than the 1.0% it had previously reported. The Labor Department reported new weekly unemployment claims fell by 37,000 last week to 391,000, the first time new weekly claims have been under 400,000 a week since April. And the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index ticked up to 59.4 in September after tumbling to near a three-year low of 55.7 in August.

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Economics

Saturday, October 01, 2011

U.S. Economy is 'Tipping Into a New Recession' / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLakshman Achuthan of the Economic Cycle Research Institute told Bloomberg Radio's Tom Keene and Ken Prewitt this morning on "Bloomberg Surveillance" that the "U.S. economy is tipping into a new recession."

Achuthan said that "you have wildfire among leading indicators across the board," which is a "deadly combination" and "not reversible."

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Economics

Friday, September 30, 2011

Emerging Markets Provide Blueprint for Sustained Growth / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: The United States should look at emerging markets for clues on how to sustain economic growth, according to U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke.

While the advanced economies of the world have stagnated since 2008, countries like China, Brazil and parts of Southeast Asia have enjoyed growth rates in the 7% to 9% range. Although several have slowed this year, they're still faring better than the economies of the United States and Europe.

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Economics

Friday, September 30, 2011

U.S. Q2 Real GDP Growth Revised Up, Jobless Claims Decline Partly Due to Technical Issues / Economics / US Economy

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleReal GDP of the U.S. economy increased at an annual rate of 1.3% in the second quarter, slightly higher than the earlier estimate of a 1.0% gain. The main reasons for the larger gain in GDP were stronger growth of structures, consumer service sector outlays, exports, and residential investment expenditures.

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Economics

Thursday, September 29, 2011

More Signs China Is Going Bust / Economics / China Economy

By: Justice_Litle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile the world fixates on Europe, signs of a China crash are mounting behind the scenes.

Imagine you run a business with 3,000 employees. Your factories churn out 20 million pairs of sunglasses per year -- the best-selling brand in China. You are a celebrated businessman in your region, with expanded interests in real estate and solar energy.

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Economics

Thursday, September 29, 2011

We’re in a Recession Right Now / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: Trader_Mark

My posts today seem to have a Negative Nelly tone - I am looking very hard for some positive stories to offset what I'm posting. ;)

WSJ's Dealbook has an interview with one of the smartest men in the room - Doubeline's Jeffrey Gundlach.  Many would consider this guy the best bond investor on planet Earth, alough PIMCO's Bill Gross gets all the press.  His Total Return Fund is once again smacking its index year to date. 

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Economics

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Marc Faber Sectors of China's Economy May Crash / Economics / China Economy

By: Videos

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Chinese economic slowdown is on the horizon, says Marc Faber, with property prices in some cities facing significant decreases.

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Economics

Saturday, September 24, 2011

World is Edging Towards Global Depression, Give Collapse a Chance / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA big sell-off yesterday. The Dow down 283 points. The 10-year T-note yields only 1.87%. And the price of gold barely budged.

In our opinion all three should be going down. Because the world is edging towards a global depression…

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Economics

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Dr Doom Roubini and Soros Say The U.S. Already in A Double Dip Recession / Economics / Double Dip Recession

By: EconMatters

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Doom Roubini has grown even more pessimistic since he put a 60% probability of a U.S. double dip in 2012 just about three weeks ago.  Business Day reported that speaking at a press conference in Johannesburg on Sep. 20, Roubini now says, "The US is already in a recession although it will not admit it." and that the rest of the world would not be insulated from the effects of another global meltdown. (Clip Below)

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Economics

Friday, September 23, 2011

Freedom and Economic Growth in the Poorest Countries / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: MISES

Ken Zahringer writes: I just finished the first draft of a paper exploring some of the factors influencing economic growth in poor countries. I put together a sample of 37 countries that were at the bottom of the income scale in 1970 and traced their economic performance over the ensuing 40 years, trying to discern some of the reasons for the differences in growth among countries. One of the measures I used was the Fraser Institute's Economic Freedom (EF) Index. The following simple table speaks volumes about why some countries prosper and others don't. (The chart divisions allow class mobility.)

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Economics

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Deflation, What You Can do to Survive the Economic Depression / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernments across the world have adopted "Quantitative Easing" aka "Printing Money" to fight against Deflation that was threatening to push global economies into a downward deflationary spiral towards a prolonged period of economic depression. The question now is will printing money coupled with ZERO interest rates work ?

Money printing in the first instance takes the form of governments instructing their respective central banks to buy government bonds in an effort to artificially drive longer term interest rates lower and fund huge budget deficits and therefore artificially stimulate economic activity.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Why the IMF's Warnings About Slower Growth for the U.S. and Europe Will Be Ignored / Economics / Global Economy

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: In lowering its growth forecast for the United States and Europe, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned of "severe repercussions" unless drastic measures are taken soon.

But don't expect the warning to spawn any real action.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

China's Economic Growth Won't Last; Chanos on Chinese Property Bubble and Growth / Economics / China Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFund manager Jim Chanos spoke to Bloomberg TV’s Carol Massar about China's economy, debt and real estate market.

Chanos said that growth in China may be zero and that China has “European kind of numbers” when it comes to debt.

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Economics

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

The Case for Hyperinflation in the US / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier this month, Gary North penned an article on LewRockwell.com entitled, "Mass Inflation, Yes; Hyperinflation, No".

In it he stated the following:

"The United States is not going to get hyperinflation unless Congress nationalizes the Federal Reserve System.

It will get mass inflation at some point: anywhere from 15% per annum to 30%. But it is not going to get 50% or 100% or more.

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Economics

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Bursting of the Debt Bubble, Evaporation of Wealth on a Vast Scale / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bursting of the "debt bubble" which started in 2008 is far from over. It's the financial story of our age and it's happening before our eyes. The full scope is hard to keep up with because it's unfolding at various levels. The top level is the sovereign debt crisis:

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Economics

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Fed is Measuring U.S. Economic Health by the Wrong Number / Economics / US Economy

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Mark Twain once said, “To a man with a hammer, everything looks like a nail.” To the Federal Reserve — an institution employing an army of economists and academics — everything looks like an economic problem that needs to be quantitatively eased. As a result, the Fed is killing the economy.

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